Health
Global Cancer Deaths Projected to Rise 75% by 2050, Lower-Income Countries Most at Risk
The global cancer burden is set to soar in the coming decades, with deaths projected to increase by nearly 75 percent by 2050 despite major medical advances, according to a new analysis published in The Lancet.
The study forecasts that 18.6 million people worldwide will die of cancer in 2050, compared to 10.4 million in 2023. New cancer cases are expected to rise by more than 60 percent in the same period, reaching 30.5 million. Researchers attributed the surge largely to population growth and ageing, which will expand the pool of people most vulnerable to the disease.
Cancer remains closely tied to lifestyle and environmental risks. More than 40 percent of cancer deaths in 2023 were linked to 44 “modifiable” risk factors such as smoking, poor diet, obesity, high blood sugar, and alcohol consumption. Among men, modifiable risks accounted for 46 percent of deaths, led by tobacco use, dietary choices, alcohol, workplace hazards, and air pollution. For women, 36 percent of cancer deaths were tied to modifiable factors, including tobacco, unsafe sex, diet, and high blood sugar.
“There are tremendous opportunities for countries to target these risk factors, potentially preventing cases of cancer and saving lives,” said Dr. Theo Vos, a researcher at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and one of the study’s authors.
The analysis tracked data from 1990 to 2023, covering 47 types of cancer across 204 countries and territories, before projecting trends through 2050. While overall cancer incidence and deaths have climbed sharply since 1990, death rates have declined in many high-income countries due to earlier detection, improved treatments, and prevention strategies such as anti-smoking campaigns.
However, lower-income countries are expected to bear the brunt of the future cancer epidemic. The report warns that they will account for more than half of new cancer cases and two-thirds of cancer deaths by 2050. Limited access to timely diagnosis, effective treatment, and supportive care could turn the situation into what researchers described as an “impending disaster.”
“Cancer is already stretching healthcare systems in lower-income countries, and this rising burden will worsen existing inequalities,” said Meghnath Dhimal of the Nepal Health Research Council, a co-author of the study. He emphasized the need for cost-effective interventions that can be implemented even in resource-constrained settings.
The authors urged governments to prioritize preventive health measures, strengthen screening and diagnostic capacity, and expand access to affordable cancer care. They stressed that curbing risk factors could substantially reduce future cases and deaths, especially in countries where healthcare systems are least prepared for the challenge.
As cancer cases and deaths climb over the next 25 years, the report concludes, addressing modifiable risks and investing in healthcare infrastructure will be critical to averting millions of preventable deaths.
Health
Study Finds Men Far More Likely Than Women to ‘Hit the Wall’ in Marathons
Health
Study Links Higher Coffee Consumption to Lower Risk of Liver Disease
Regular coffee consumption may help reduce the risk of serious liver diseases, including cirrhosis, liver cancer and liver-related deaths, according to a new study published in the journal Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology.
The research found that people who consumed higher amounts of coffee, including decaffeinated varieties, were less likely to develop chronic liver conditions than those who drank little or no coffee. The findings add to growing evidence that coffee may play a role in supporting long-term liver health, although researchers stressed that the results do not prove a direct cause-and-effect relationship.
The study examined data from more than 350,000 participants enrolled in the UK Biobank, one of the world’s largest long-term health research projects. None of the participants had cirrhosis or liver cancer at the beginning of the study. Researchers monitored their health over a period of 13 years to assess how coffee consumption affected liver-related outcomes.
According to the findings, participants who drank five or more cups of coffee each day had a 32 percent lower risk of developing cirrhosis than those who consumed little or no coffee. They also recorded a 47 percent lower risk of liver cancer and a 42 percent reduction in deaths linked to liver disease.
Researchers found additional indicators of improved liver health among regular coffee drinkers. Participants with higher coffee intake showed lower levels of liver fat, liver iron, fibrosis and inflammation. Blood tests also revealed increased levels of proteins associated with healthy liver function, while markers linked to liver scarring and inflammation were generally lower.
The findings come as liver disease continues to pose a major global health challenge. A separate study published in 2023 estimated that liver disease causes around two million deaths each year, accounting for about four percent of all deaths worldwide. Men account for nearly two-thirds of those fatalities.
Despite the encouraging results, the researchers urged caution in interpreting the findings. Senior study author Ju Dong Yang said moderate coffee consumption appears to be beneficial for people who already enjoy drinking coffee and tolerate it well.
“Our findings support moderate coffee consumption for people who already enjoy and tolerate it well,” Yang said.
He added that the study does not provide sufficient evidence to recommend that people who do not currently drink coffee should begin doing so solely to reduce their risk of liver disease.
Health experts continue to advise that maintaining a healthy weight, limiting alcohol consumption, eating a balanced diet and managing conditions such as obesity and diabetes remain the most effective ways to reduce the risk of chronic liver disease. Researchers said additional studies are needed to better understand which compounds in coffee may contribute to its potential protective effects.
Health
Lancet Review Finds mRNA Vaccines Safe and Highly Effective, Calls for Wider Global Access
A comprehensive review of data covering billions of administered doses of mRNA vaccines has concluded that the technology remains both safe and highly effective in preventing infectious diseases, with researchers urging governments and health organisations to focus on expanding global access.
The review, published in The Lancet, examined evidence gathered since mRNA vaccines were first deployed on a large scale during the COVID-19 pandemic. Researchers found that the vaccines continue to provide strong protection against severe illness while serious side effects remain uncommon.
Unlike conventional vaccines, mRNA vaccines work by delivering genetic instructions that enable the body’s cells to produce a harmless viral protein. This process trains the immune system to recognise and respond to future infections without altering a person’s DNA.
According to the review, mRNA vaccines were 87% effective in preventing confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections within 14 to 42 days after vaccination. The vaccines also demonstrated 93% effectiveness in preventing hospital admissions and 94% effectiveness in preventing deaths related to COVID-19 during the same period.
Researchers noted that immunity declines over time, but booster doses restore a significant portion of the lost protection.
The review also assessed vaccine safety across billions of administered doses. It found that serious adverse events, including myocarditis, pericarditis and anaphylaxis, occurred very rarely. Most reported reactions, such as pain at the injection site, fatigue and fever, were mild to moderate and typically resolved within a few days.
“Across billions of administered doses, serious adverse events have been rare, well characterised, and consistently outweighed by the substantial protection conferred against severe disease, hospitalisation, and death,” the researchers wrote.
The review concluded that the vaccines have proven effective across a broad range of populations, including children, older adults, pregnant women and people with weakened immune systems.
Researchers also highlighted the growing potential of mRNA technology beyond infectious diseases. They said ongoing research could lead to personalised cancer vaccines designed to match an individual patient’s tumour characteristics, opening new possibilities for targeted treatment.
Co-author Manish Sadarangani of the University of British Columbia and BC Children’s Hospital Research Institute said mRNA vaccines have already changed how the world responds to emerging infectious diseases and could continue to play an important role in preventive medicine and cancer care.
The review also noted that improvements in vaccine storage, including higher-temperature storage methods and freeze-drying technologies, could simplify transportation, reduce waste and improve access in remote regions.
Despite these advances, the researchers stressed that manufacturing capacity and equitable distribution remain major challenges. They called for greater investment in local production, technology transfer and stronger regulatory systems, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.
Co-author Robin Shattock of Imperial College London said expanding manufacturing networks and strengthening regional production capabilities would shorten supply chains, lower costs and help ensure countries have faster access to vaccines during future global health emergencies.
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