Business
Powell Signals Possible Rate Cuts Amid Balancing Act Between Inflation and Jobs
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted on Friday that the central bank may soon consider lowering interest rates, though he stressed any move would be cautious and dependent on incoming economic data. His remarks came at the Jackson Hole Symposium in Wyoming, a closely watched annual gathering of central bankers, policymakers, and investors.
Powell acknowledged the delicate position facing the Fed, with the economy showing signs of both rising unemployment and lingering inflation. “The stability of the unemployment rate and other labour market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance,” he said.
The comments mark one of Powell’s clearest signals yet that the central bank is weighing a shift in policy. “With policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance,” he added, suggesting that an eventual rate cut is on the table.
Still, Powell avoided committing to a timeline, leaving open the possibility that decisions could come as soon as the Fed’s next policy meeting on September 16–17 or later in the year. He emphasised that the Fed’s approach would remain data-driven, responding to developments in inflation and the labour market.
Financial markets responded swiftly to Powell’s remarks. Within minutes of his speech, Wall Street indices rallied sharply, with the S&P 500 jumping 1.3 percent, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbing 649 points (1.4 percent), and the Nasdaq gaining 1.3 percent. Investors have long anticipated lower borrowing costs, which tend to boost corporate investment and stock prices, even if they risk fueling inflation.
President Donald Trump, who has frequently criticised Powell for not cutting rates sooner, may view the comments as a step in the direction he has been demanding. Trump has repeatedly called for rate reductions to counter the impact of tariffs and stimulate growth, often using unusually sharp language against the Fed chair.
Powell, however, sought to underline the complexities of the current economic environment. Tariffs, he noted, are contributing to higher inflation pressures, while the labour market remains resilient, if somewhat muted. “It is a curious kind of balance,” he observed, pointing out that both job creation and job seekers appear to be slowing at the same time.
For the Fed, the challenge lies in navigating between the risks of loosening policy too early, which could entrench inflation, and waiting too long, which could exacerbate unemployment. Powell’s emphasis on caution suggests that while a rate cut is increasingly likely, it will not come without careful deliberation.
With markets betting heavily on action in September, attention will now turn to the next batch of employment and inflation data, which could tip the scales in the Fed’s policy debate
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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