Business
Italy Considers Doubling Cash Payment Limit Amid Tax Evasion Concerns
Italy is considering raising the maximum limit for cash payments from €5,000 to €10,000 as part of an amendment to the 2026 Budget Law, sparking debate among lawmakers and economists. Proponents argue the move increases consumer freedom, while critics warn it could encourage tax evasion and illegal activity.
The amendment, tabled by the Brothers of Italy party led by Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, follows a previous increase from €2,000 to €5,000 in 2022, which came into effect in January 2023. Meloni’s government maintains that the new measure will not affect tax compliance.
Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini, head of the League party, defended the proposal, saying, “People should be able to use their money as they wish. No one should have to justify what they have in their bank account.” He emphasized that the move aligns with the principle of individual financial freedom.
Opponents, including the Democratic Party and the Greens and Left Alliance, argue the proposal risks expanding Italy’s underground economy. Angelo Bonelli of Green Europe warned that it could create new opportunities for tax evasion and the black market. Similarly, Giacinto Palladino, head of the banking and insurance union First Cisl, noted that cash has historically facilitated evasion and money laundering, particularly in sectors such as construction, textiles, and catering.
To offset some concerns, the amendment proposes a €500 stamp duty for transactions between €5,000 and €10,000 and would require invoices for such payments. Analysts caution, however, that these measures could be circumvented through private agreements.
Italy’s shadow economy remains substantial. ISTAT reported that in 2023, the value of unregistered economic activity, including irregular labor, drug trafficking, prostitution, and tobacco smuggling, reached €217.5 billion, or 10.2 percent of GDP. Past studies indicate tax evasion in Italy ranged between €92 billion and €105 billion in the years leading up to 2022, depending on the source.
European regulations also set context for the debate. In 2024, the EU Council and Parliament adopted measures to limit cash payments to €10,000 for goods and services, aiming to curb money laundering and terrorism financing. The limit is not mandatory, allowing countries to set lower thresholds if desired.
Some lawmakers argue that Italy’s cash limits are not the main driver of evasion. Massimo Garavaglia, president of the Senate Finance Commission, said the focus should be on whether cash usage results from evasion, noting that similar limits in countries like Germany have not drastically altered compliance.
The proposed amendment is now under parliamentary review, with public debate likely to continue as Italy balances consumer rights, economic practices, and the fight against the underground economy.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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