Business
Iran Holds Back Advanced Missile Arsenal Amid Tensions with Israel, Signaling Strategic Calculations
As the conflict between Iran and Israel intensifies, military analysts are closely watching a key unanswered question: Why has Iran not deployed the full extent of its powerful missile arsenal?
Despite heavy exchanges of drone and missile strikes in recent weeks, reports indicate that Tehran has so far refrained from using its most advanced long-range missile systems. This suggests that the current phase of the confrontation may be far from its peak and that Iran is exercising strategic restraint — at least for now.
Iran’s missile program is among the most sophisticated in the Middle East. It includes a wide range of short-, medium-, and long-range ballistic and cruise missiles, many capable of reaching targets over 2,000 kilometers away. Some of these weapons pose a direct threat to deep military and strategic sites inside Israel.
A Diverse and Lethal Arsenal
Among Iran’s top-tier missile systems is the Khorramshahr-Khyber, the latest in a family of long-range ballistic missiles. With a 2,000-kilometre range and no need for complex launchers, it is designed for swift deployment in strategic strikes.
The Fattah 2, an alleged hypersonic missile, has been touted by Tehran as capable of evading modern air defense systems with speeds high enough to breach the atmosphere. While Western experts remain skeptical of its true capabilities, its existence alone adds to Iran’s deterrence strategy.
Other notable missiles include the Qaseem, a solid-fueled system that allows rapid launch without elaborate preparation, and the Soumar, a long-range cruise missile believed to have a reach of up to 2,500 kilometers while flying at low altitudes to avoid detection.
In naval warfare, the Zolfaqar Naval missile offers a range of up to 1,000 kilometers, targeting military and commercial vessels — making it a critical component of any maritime blockade strategy. Meanwhile, the lightweight Ra’ad missile is designed for quick, surprise ground attacks.
Deterrence Over Escalation
Experts believe Iran’s decision to withhold the use of these advanced systems is likely strategic. Deploying them could escalate the conflict to a level that invites a broader international response — particularly from the United States and European allies.
“Iran is calculating the cost of escalation carefully,” said a regional security analyst. “These weapons are more valuable as a threat than in use, especially when they could trigger a much wider war.”
The missile arsenal may also serve as a bargaining chip. By keeping these systems in reserve, Tehran retains leverage — both militarily and diplomatically — that could be used to influence future negotiations or deter further Israeli actions.
For now, Iran’s restraint appears to be part of a deliberate strategy, signaling that while the country is prepared for confrontation, it is also keeping its most powerful tools in reserve — waiting for a moment when their use could be most impactful, or when diplomacy has run its course.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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