Business
EU Faces Sharp Population Decline Without Migration, Eurostat Warns
The European Union’s population is expected to peak at around 453 million in 2026 before entering a long-term decline that could see it shrink by one-third by the end of the century if migration stops, according to new projections from Eurostat.
The data agency warns that without migration, the EU would lose the equivalent of one million workers every year over the next quarter century, posing severe challenges for its labour markets and economic growth. By 2050, the bloc’s population would fall by 9% compared to 2025 levels, and by 34% by 2100, the report shows.
Demographic pressures are already weighing on the EU’s workforce. Peter Bosch, a senior research associate at the Egmont Institute, said the bloc is expected to lose around one million workers annually until 2050. A study by the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre (JRC) projects that, if current labour participation rates remain unchanged, the EU labour force will shrink by over 20% by 2070 — a reduction of about 42.8 million workers. Under less favourable conditions, that figure could reach nearly 56 million.
“Migration can play a crucial role in shaping the EU’s labour market over the coming decades, particularly if migrants are successfully employed and integrated,” the JRC researchers said.
The population outlook varies sharply across member states. Italy and Spain are projected to experience the steepest declines, losing about half their populations by 2100 — 52% and 49%, respectively. Malta, Portugal, Greece, and Croatia could see drops exceeding 40%. France and Ireland, by contrast, are expected to remain more stable, with declines of only 13% and 15%. Ireland is forecast to be the only EU member whose population grows by 2050, rising around 4% compared to 2025.
Eurostat’s projections suggest that if there are 100 people in the EU in 2025, only 91 would remain by 2050, 77 by 2075, and just 66 by 2100 — a dramatic contraction that would reshape the continent’s demographics and economic landscape.
Candidate countries generally have younger populations, which could partially offset the EU’s ageing trend if enlargement proceeds. In 2024, 30.8% of the EU’s population was under 30, compared to 48.3% in Kosovo and 44.3% in Turkey. However, experts warn that these nations, too, face eventual ageing and labour shortages.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has also highlighted the growing importance of foreign workers in sustaining the euro area’s labour force. “The influx of foreign workers in recent years has supported robust growth in the euro area labour force, somewhat offsetting negative demographic trends,” ECB analysts noted.
While EU enlargement and migration could ease demographic pressures, policymakers face mounting urgency to strengthen workforce participation, integrate migrants, and sustain productivity as Europe’s population continues to age and decline.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
Business
Goldman Sachs tapped to lead SpaceX IPO as Musk eyes record-breaking market debut
Business
Greek Stocks Stage Remarkable Comeback After Years of Financial Turmoil
-
Entertainment2 years agoMeta Acquires Tilda Swinton VR Doc ‘Impulse: Playing With Reality’
-
Sports2 years agoChina’s Historic Olympic Victory Sparks National Pride Amid Controversy
-
Business2 years agoSaudi Arabia’s Model for Sustainable Aviation Practices
-
Business2 years agoRecent Developments in Small Business Taxes
-
Home Improvement1 year agoEffective Drain Cleaning: A Key to a Healthy Plumbing System
-
Politics2 years agoWho was Ebrahim Raisi and his status in Iranian Politics?
-
Sports2 years agoKeely Hodgkinson Wins Britain’s First Athletics Gold at Paris Olympics in 800m
-
Business2 years agoCarrectly: Revolutionizing Car Care in Chicago
