Business
China’s June Exports Surge 27% as AI Demand and Vehicle Shipments Boost Trade
China’s exports posted stronger-than-expected growth in June, rising 27 percent from a year earlier as booming demand linked to artificial intelligence and robust overseas sales of vehicles and technology products lifted trade, according to data released by the country’s customs agency.
The June performance marked a sharp acceleration from the 19.4 percent annual increase recorded in May and exceeded economists’ expectations. Imports also gathered pace, climbing 36 percent year on year after a 27.4 percent rise in May. Analysts said higher import costs resulting from the conflict involving Iran contributed to the increase in import values.
China’s monthly trade surplus widened to $125.6 billion in June from $105.4 billion in May, reflecting continued strength in exports despite concerns about slowing domestic demand.
Julian Evans-Pritchard, Head of China Economics at Capital Economics, said trade values experienced another significant increase during June.
“Trade values took another big leg up in June,” he said in a research note, adding that higher semiconductor prices driven by the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence played a major role. He also noted that demand for Chinese goods remained resilient beyond the technology sector.
Exports of electric vehicles, conventional automobiles and other advanced technology products continued to support manufacturing activity as global investment in artificial intelligence increased demand for semiconductors, electronic components and related equipment.
The export sector has helped offset weaker domestic consumption and investment, which continue to face pressure from China’s prolonged property market downturn.
During the first six months of 2026, exports increased 17.6 percent compared with the same period last year, while imports rose 26.6 percent, according to customs figures.
China’s expanding trade surplus has continued to draw attention from policymakers in the United States and Europe, where concerns have grown over widening trade imbalances. In response to higher tariffs and other trade barriers, many Chinese manufacturers have expanded production facilities overseas, particularly in Europe, while exports to Southeast Asia, Latin America and Africa have continued to grow.
June exports to Southeast Asia climbed nearly 35 percent from a year earlier. Shipments to the European Union increased by more than 18 percent, while exports to Latin America rose over 28 percent. Exports to the United States advanced almost 14 percent, partly reflecting weaker shipments during the same period last year after higher tariffs were introduced following President Donald Trump’s return to office.
Wei Li, Head of Multi-Asset Investments at BNP Paribas Securities China, said export growth is expected to continue but warned that future performance remains vulnerable to changing global demand and regulatory measures affecting key industries such as electric vehicles and artificial intelligence.
China is scheduled to release its April-to-June economic growth figures on Wednesday. The government has set a growth target of between 4.5 percent and 5 percent for 2026, slightly below the 5 percent expansion recorded last year. The International Monetary Fund recently raised its forecast for China’s economic growth this year to 4.6 percent but expects growth to slow to 4.1 percent in 2027 as policymakers continue efforts to stimulate consumer spending.
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