Business
Bitcoin Struggles After October Crash as Analysts Cite Tariff Tensions, Market Uncertainty and Aggressive Trading
Bitcoin remains under pressure after a turbulent two months in which the cryptocurrency shed significant value, rattled by global economic uncertainty and intense market speculation. The token, which surged to record highs earlier this year, briefly fell below $90,000 this week for the first time in seven months before edging back to around $91,800 by Thursday afternoon in Europe. It did enjoy a modest 0.73% lift on Thursday, helped by a rebound in global stocks after stronger-than-expected earnings from Nvidia eased fears of an AI-driven market bubble.
Analysts say Bitcoin’s troubles can be traced back to 10 October, when a dramatic crash erased more than $1 trillion in value across the broader crypto market. The selloff accelerated after US President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs on China, sparking fresh anxiety about the global economy. More than $19 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out as prices tumbled sharply.
“There have been several catalysts, but it seems as if the biggest drivers are long-term selling by ‘OGs’, an uncertain economic climate, and a mass deleveraging event on the 10th October,” said Nic Puckrin, CEO of Coin Bureau. He noted that “OGs” — long-time Bitcoin holders sitting on large reserves — have been steadily offloading their positions, adding considerable supply to the market.
The downturn has coincided with a period of heightened uncertainty in the United States, where a government shutdown has delayed key economic data releases and complicated forecasts for growth and inflation. Investors are now reconsidering expectations of an interest-rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting. Transcripts from the Fed’s October discussions show policymakers split on whether borrowing costs should be reduced, adding to volatility across financial markets.
“Bitcoin is increasingly driven by macro moves,” Puckrin said, reflecting concerns that as crypto becomes more intertwined with mainstream markets, shocks in one sector could trigger turbulence in another.
But not all analysts blame the losses on economic policy or geopolitics. Carol Alexander, a cryptocurrency expert and finance professor at the University of Sussex, said Bitcoin’s price swings often stem from aggressive tactics used by professional traders on offshore exchanges. These platforms, which face minimal oversight, allow hedge funds and high-frequency trading firms to employ strategies such as spoofing and order-book manipulation to trigger rapid movements.
“Their business model relies on generating sharp volatility. They do not care whether the price rises or falls; they care only that it moves quickly,” Alexander said. She warned that retail investors often take on extreme leverage in an attempt to chase gains, only to be wiped out when markets swing against them. Liquidity dries up once those smaller traders are forced out, she added, often triggering a sharp rebound that encourages new speculation. “The whole system behaves like a football match played in a stadium with no referee.”
Despite the setbacks, some analysts believe the market is nearing a floor. Puckrin expects a recovery, citing growing institutional participation and broader adoption of crypto-related technology. “Crypto has been through multiple cycles and it always emerges stronger,” he said.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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