Business
Bitcoin Reaches Record High Amid Speculation of Trump Win in US Election
Bitcoin surged to a record high as early projections from the 2024 US presidential election indicate that Republican nominee Donald Trump could be leading the race. The cryptocurrency soared by 7%, peaking at around €70,022, surpassing its previous peak recorded in March, according to Reuters. Following this spike, Bitcoin’s value stabilized slightly, hovering at approximately €69,089.
Many cryptocurrency investors view Trump as a favorable candidate over Democratic nominee Kamala Harris, marking a shift in sentiment from his earlier stance on digital assets. In a 2021 interview with Fox News, Trump had famously called Bitcoin a “scam” and advocated for strict regulation to protect the dominance of the US dollar in global markets. At the time, he underscored his belief that “the currency of the world should be the dollar.”
However, as Trump prepared for the 2024 election, his perspective on cryptocurrency shifted. In August, he declared his intention to position the US as the “crypto capital of the planet,” signaling a softened stance on digital assets and hinting at a more crypto-friendly approach if elected. This change has sparked investor optimism, with many seeing a potential Trump administration as beneficial to the broader cryptocurrency sector.
Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, has also expressed support for the crypto industry, telling Bloomberg that she would endorse policies aimed at fostering the growth of digital assets. Yet, the Biden administration’s regulatory stance on cryptocurrency has raised concerns among industry players, who fear that the emphasis on strict oversight might stifle innovation.
The response in financial markets to the prospect of a Trump victory extended beyond Bitcoin. Other currencies, particularly those sensitive to US policy changes, also reacted strongly. The Mexican peso, for instance, fell to a two-year low, trading at 20.5260 pesos per US dollar, its weakest level since September 2022. Earlier in the week, Trump pledged to impose a 25% tariff on Mexican exports, citing concerns over drug trafficking across the border. The peso’s decline reflects market apprehensions over the potential impact of this policy on Mexico’s economy.
Meanwhile, the US dollar saw a significant boost. The dollar index, which measures the currency against major global counterparts like the Euro and Canadian dollar, recorded a 1.24% increase. The dollar’s upward momentum underscores investor anticipation of a Trump win, with markets responding to expectations of strong domestic policies under a Republican administration.
Bitcoin’s surge and the movements in currency markets highlight the volatility often associated with major political events. Investors are closely monitoring the election outcome, which could shape the future of cryptocurrency regulation and influence global economic policies. If Trump secures the presidency, it is expected that market reactions across multiple sectors, especially cryptocurrency, will continue to unfold as he implements his policy agenda.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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