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Oil Prices Rise as US-Iran Tensions Return and Rate Hike Bets Grow

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Oil prices rose sharply on Monday as renewed military tensions between the United States and Iran revived concerns over energy supplies, while investors increased bets that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates.

Both major crude benchmarks gained more than 2% after the United States said it had attacked Iranian rocket launchers on a small island in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran responded by striking US military targets in Jordan, ending a period of relative calm in the conflict.

The latest escalation came as the war reached its six-month mark, with diplomatic efforts showing little progress. The Strait of Hormuz remains a major concern for energy markets because roughly one-fifth of the world’s crude oil and gas passes through the strategic waterway.

Oil prices had fallen for much of last week as conditions around the strait appeared to improve, allowing traders to reduce some of the risk premium built into crude prices. Monday’s developments quickly reversed that trend.

Stephen Innes of Quintex Intel said the latest exchange demonstrated how quickly geopolitical risks could return to oil markets. He noted that improvements in physical energy flows through Hormuz had helped prices retreat, but the renewed fighting showed that the situation remained fragile.

The oil rally came as financial markets also reacted to comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole economic symposium in Wyoming.

Warsh warned that US inflation remained a concern and indicated that policymakers might need to take further action if price pressures do not ease quickly enough. US inflation is currently running at 3.7%, well above the Fed’s 2% target.

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He said he would be “hard-pressed” to describe current financial conditions as restrictive, increasing expectations that borrowing costs could rise. However, Warsh stopped short of committing to a specific decision, saying he was committed to discipline rather than a predetermined policy move.

His remarks pushed up short-term US Treasury yields and strengthened the dollar. Wall Street’s three major indexes also closed lower on Friday, while gold prices declined.

Asian markets followed the negative lead on Monday. Technology companies were among the biggest decliners as investors considered the impact of higher borrowing costs on businesses investing heavily in artificial intelligence.

Tokyo, Seoul, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Taipei and Jakarta all recorded losses, while Singapore and Wellington edged higher.

Markets will now focus on US economic data due over the next two weeks. Employment figures are expected this week, followed by the consumer price index next week. Traders will closely examine both reports for clues about the Fed’s next move.

The combination of renewed Middle East tensions and uncertainty over US monetary policy has left investors facing two major risks at the same time: higher energy costs and potentially tighter financial conditions.

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Trump Hails Major Venezuela Oil Deal as Questions Grow Over Terms

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US President Donald Trump has described a newly announced agreement involving Venezuela’s vast oil reserves as “the biggest oil deal in world history”, but the White House has released few details about the arrangement.

Trump said the deal would give the United States a significant stake in Venezuela’s oil resources and advance his administration’s goal of expanding access to the country’s huge reserves. The agreement was announced Friday night after US forces captured former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in January and brought him to New York to face federal drug trafficking charges.

Venezuela’s interim leader, Delcy Rodríguez, presented the agreement as an important step towards rebuilding the country’s struggling energy industry. In a televised address Sunday, she said Venezuela would retain control of its natural resources and aimed to turn the country into a major global energy producer.

No full text of the agreement has been released, leaving major questions about its structure, financing and implementation.

According to Rodríguez, the agreement covers 17 oil fields with proven potential of 65 billion barrels. She said the project could attract about $100 billion in investment and generate more than $209 billion in tax revenue for Venezuela.

A US official, speaking anonymously, said the arrangement gives the United States an effective 55% share of the new private company’s output. That figure reportedly combines an ownership stake with rights to purchase oil at cost.

The official said oil purchased by the United States would be directed towards the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve and military requirements. If the figures are confirmed, the company would rank among the world’s largest holders of proven oil reserves.

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The agreement has already triggered criticism inside Venezuela. Some opponents argue that granting US interests access to the country’s oil resources violates a long-standing principle that Venezuela’s natural wealth should remain under national control.

Ricardo Hausmann, a former Venezuelan planning minister and Harvard University professor, called the arrangement a “shameful deal” and questioned Rodríguez’s authority to approve it.

Rodríguez rejected those concerns, insisting that Venezuela would maintain ownership and sovereignty over its resources. She said the government wanted to attract major international companies, including Chevron, Repsol and Shell, to expand investment.

The agreement has also divided US lawmakers. Republican supporters described it as a historic economic opportunity, while Democratic senators accused Trump of pursuing Venezuelan oil as a central objective of his policy.

Questions remain over the identity of the private operator, the division of ownership and who will finance the large investments needed to develop Venezuela’s oil fields.

Industry support is also uncertain. Chevron, the only US oil company currently producing oil in Venezuela, declined to comment, while Exxon Mobil also declined to discuss the agreement.

Analysts have warned that damaged infrastructure, political uncertainty and logistical difficulties could make the proposed investment difficult to deliver, despite Venezuela’s enormous oil reserves.

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Zurich Leads Europe as City-Centre Home Prices Soar Above €22,000 per Square Metre

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The cost of buying a home in major European cities varies sharply, with Zurich emerging as the continent’s most expensive city for city-centre apartments and Istanbul ranking as the cheapest.

Housing affordability remains a major concern across Europe as buyers face high prices in capitals, large urban areas and popular tourist destinations. The latest figures from Deutsche Bank Research Institute’s “Mapping the World’s Prices 2026” report compare the cost of buying an apartment in the city centre across 69 cities worldwide, including 28 European locations.

Switzerland occupies the top two positions in Europe. An apartment in central Zurich costs an average of €22,910 per square metre, while Geneva stands at €19,439. An 80-square-metre apartment would therefore cost about €1.83 million in Zurich and €1.56 million in Geneva.

London ranks third at €17,241 per square metre. An 80-square-metre property in the British capital would cost approximately €1.38 million, or about £1.18 million.

Paris follows at €12,771 per square metre, making London about 35% more expensive. Vienna completes the top five at €12,483.

Among Europe’s five largest economies, only the capitals of the UK and France appear in the top 10. Munich is Germany’s most expensive city in the ranking at €11,435 per square metre.

Luxembourg follows at €11,011, while Copenhagen, Stockholm and Oslo record prices of €10,191, €10,037 and €9,785 respectively. Three Nordic cities are therefore among Europe’s 10 most expensive locations.

Elsewhere, Milan costs €9,378 per square metre and Amsterdam €9,273. Helsinki ranks 13th at €8,431, while Prague is priced at €8,352.

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Madrid and Berlin are slightly cheaper at €7,831 and €7,613 respectively. Rome follows at €7,328, while Dublin and Frankfurt stand at €7,185 and €7,162.

Prices fall further in Lisbon and Barcelona, where the cost per square metre is €6,636 and €6,485.

At the other end of the European ranking, Istanbul is the cheapest at €2,646 per square metre. Athens follows at €3,442, while Brussels records €4,380. Birmingham costs €4,671, with Budapest, Warsaw and Edinburgh at €5,243, €5,443 and €5,708.

The average price across the 28 European cities is €9,090 per square metre, meaning an 80-square-metre apartment would cost about €727,000.

Globally, Hong Kong tops the ranking at €23,790 per square metre, followed by Zurich and Seoul. Cairo is the cheapest at €784, followed by Johannesburg at €913.

The figures combine data from Numbeo and Deutsche Bank and use European Central Bank average exchange rates for the first half of 2026.

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Trump Announces US-Venezuela Deal Covering 65 Billion Barrels of Oil Reserves

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US President Donald Trump has announced an agreement with Venezuela that would give the United States a major role in developing more than 65 billion barrels of the country’s proven oil reserves.

Trump described the agreement as a historic transaction that would increase US oil supplies and potentially reduce petrol prices for American consumers. He provided few details about the structure or legal terms of the arrangement.

Venezuela’s interim President Delcy Rodriguez also confirmed the agreement, describing it as an important step toward reviving the country’s struggling economy.

According to Rodriguez, the deal covers 17 strategic oil fields with proven potential of 65 billion barrels. She said the projects could attract more than $100 billion in investment and generate over $209 billion in tax revenue for the Venezuelan state.

“These investments will contribute not only to the recovery and modernization of our industry, but also to our country’s economic growth,” Rodriguez said.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the agreement a major victory for both countries. He said it could bring almost $100 billion in private investment to Venezuela, create thousands of high-paying jobs and support the reconstruction of the country’s economy.

Trump said Rubio and Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth reached the agreement with Venezuelan authorities through a partnership involving private businesses. He did not identify the companies involved or explain the precise commitments made by Washington and Caracas.

A US official told CBS News, the BBC’s media partner, that the US government would retain a 55% stake in a joint venture with an experienced private operator in Venezuela. According to the official, Rodriguez granted the venture a 100-year concession to operate the oil fields.

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The arrangement has raised questions because the official agreement has not been publicly released and its constitutional and legal status in Venezuela remains unclear.

Venezuela has the world’s largest proven oil reserves, estimated at about 303 billion barrels, but production has fallen sharply since reaching its peak in the late 1990s. Years of economic instability, underinvestment and deteriorating infrastructure have weakened the country’s oil industry.

Trump has previously urged US energy companies to invest at least $100 billion to restore Venezuelan production. He has also repeatedly said Washington should benefit from Venezuela’s oil resources.

The announcement follows the US capture of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, in a US special forces operation authorised by Trump on January 3.

After the operation, Trump said his administration would oversee Venezuela until what he described as a safe and orderly political transition. He also said the United States would control the sale of Venezuelan oil for an indefinite period.

The latest agreement could therefore represent a major expansion of US involvement in Venezuela’s energy industry.

Trump has argued that Venezuela previously seized American oil assets and equipment, causing substantial financial losses to US companies. His administration has presented greater US participation in Venezuela’s oil sector as a way to increase energy supplies, attract investment and support reconstruction.

However, the absence of a published agreement leaves important questions unanswered about ownership, governance, taxation and the legal authority behind the proposed arrangement.

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