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Eastern Germany Faces Growing Economic Gap as Poland Pulls Ahead, Economists Warn
Eastern Germany is at risk of losing momentum in its long-running effort to close the economic gap with the western part of the country, while neighbouring Poland continues to record strong growth and attract rising investment, according to economists and a new competitiveness report.
The 2026 Competitiveness Report for Eastern Germany warns that the convergence process between east and west is “in jeopardy,” with the region facing weaker investment, persistent labour shortages and mounting demographic pressures. Researchers say the gap that narrowed for decades could begin widening again unless urgent action is taken.
Joachim Ragnitz, deputy head of the ifo Institute in Dresden and author of the study underpinning the report, said the situation has reached a turning point. He cautioned that eastern Germany’s economic catch-up can no longer be assumed and may stall without decisive policy and business intervention.
The report highlights that private investment in eastern Germany remains significantly below western levels. Between 2019 and 2023, investment per resident reached only about three-quarters of western Germany’s level. Excluding housing and public infrastructure, it fell to roughly two-thirds.
Demographic change is adding further pressure. The working-age population is expected to decline by around 7 percent by 2035, with sharper drops in some regions. Thuringia and Saxony-Anhalt could lose as much as a quarter of their labour force potential, raising concerns over production capacity and business continuity. In Thuringia alone, company closures outpaced new business formations last year.
Officials and economists argue that a shortage of skilled labour and weak private-sector investment remain central challenges. Elisabeth Kaiser, the federal government’s commissioner for eastern Germany, said targeted tax incentives and continued investment are essential to strengthening long-term growth prospects.
By contrast, Poland has recorded strong industrial expansion in recent years, attracting investment in sectors such as automotive manufacturing, logistics and battery production. Economists say Poland’s flexibility in shaping economic policy has been a key advantage.
Ragnitz noted that Poland can offer tailored incentives and regulatory conditions that are not possible within Germany’s unified legal and wage framework. He said eastern Germany’s integration into national systems limits its ability to compete on costs or design special investment zones.
After reunification, eastern Germany briefly benefited from enhanced subsidies and simplified approval processes, but many of these measures were later phased out due to policy changes and EU rules. Attempts to reintroduce similar frameworks have faced political resistance.
Despite this, several major projects have recently been secured in eastern Germany, including Tesla’s plant in Brandenburg, semiconductor investments in Dresden and battery production facilities near Erfurt. However, economists say these flagship developments have not yet translated into broad regional gains.
Wealth disparities also remain significant. Median household net worth in eastern Germany is around €35,900, compared with €143,200 in the west. Lower incomes, reduced home ownership and fewer inheritances continue to widen the gap.
While Germany’s overall economy shows signs of stabilisation, eastern states continue to lag behind in sectors such as industry, construction and retail. GDP per capita in the east remains about 85 percent of western levels.
Economists say the challenge now is not simply catching up, but redefining the region’s economic role. Attention is expected to focus on new growth strategies at upcoming policy forums, where Germany and international experts, including those studying Poland’s development model, will assess how to revive momentum in the east.
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White House Says Trump Remains in Excellent Health After Annual Medical Exam
US President Donald Trump remains in “excellent health” and is fully capable of carrying out his presidential duties, according to a medical report released by the White House following his annual examination.
The assessment, issued Friday by Capt. Sean Barbabella, Trump’s official physician, followed a series of medical tests conducted earlier this week at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center in Maryland.
The report said Trump underwent extensive evaluations covering cardiac, respiratory and neurological health, along with other routine examinations. Barbabella concluded that the president was “fully fit to carry out all duties of the Commander-in-Chief and Head of State.”
“President Trump remains in excellent health, demonstrating strong cardiac, pulmonary, neurological, and overall physical function,” the physician wrote in the memo.
The report highlighted Trump’s active schedule as a contributing factor to his overall condition, noting that his routine includes high-level meetings, public appearances and regular physical activity.
“His demanding daily schedule, including multiple high-level meetings, public engagements, and regular physical activity, continues to support his overall well-being,” the memo stated.
Barbabella also said the president’s “cognitive and physical performance are excellent,” addressing a topic that has frequently drawn public and political attention as Trump approaches his 80th birthday this summer.
Trump underwent the examination earlier in the week and later shared his reaction on Truth Social, declaring that the medical review had gone smoothly.
“Everything checked out perfectly,” Trump wrote.
The report included details about several physical observations. Physicians noted scarring on Trump’s right ear that was described as consistent with a prior gunshot injury.
The memo also addressed bruising that has repeatedly appeared on Trump’s right hand since his return to the White House.
According to Barbabella, examination of the hands showed bruising, medically referred to as ecchymosis, caused by “minor soft tissue irritation” linked to frequent handshaking while taking aspirin as part of cardiovascular prevention treatment.
Trump’s weight was listed at 238 pounds, or approximately 108 kilograms, representing an increase compared with his previous medical evaluation.
The physician said the president received preventative health counseling and guidance related to diet and weight management as part of the examination process.
Presidential medical reports have long drawn public scrutiny, particularly for older presidents, as they provide one of the few official glimpses into a leader’s health while serving in office.
The latest assessment comes as Trump maintains a busy political and governing schedule ahead of another active year in Washington.
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