Business
China’s Trade Surplus Hits Record $1.2 Trillion as Exports Outperform Expectations
China’s trade surplus reached a record high of almost $1.2 trillion last year, government data showed Wednesday, as strong exports to global markets offset slowing sales to the United States.
According to customs authorities, China’s exports rose 5.5% in 2025 to $3.77 trillion, while imports remained largely flat at $2.58 trillion, producing a trade surplus of $992 billion. Exports surged in December, climbing 6.6% compared with the same month in 2024, exceeding economists’ forecasts and surpassing November’s 5.9% increase. Imports in December grew 5.7% year-on-year, up from 1.9% the previous month.
Economists say exports will remain a key driver of China’s economic growth this year despite trade frictions and geopolitical tensions. Jacqueline Rong, chief China economist at BNP Paribas, said, “We continue to expect exports to act as a big growth driver in 2026.”
Exports to the United States have fallen sharply since the start of former President Donald Trump’s trade policies, but China has made up the gap with strong sales to markets in South America, Southeast Asia, Africa, and Europe. Analysts point to robust global demand for computer chips, electronic devices, and the materials used to produce them as major contributors to export growth.
China’s strong trade performance helped its economy grow at a rate close to its official 5% annual target. Policymakers have focused on stimulating domestic consumption and business spending, including programs that offer subsidies to replace older appliances and vehicles with newer, energy-efficient models. However, these measures have had limited impact compared with export-driven growth.
Despite last year’s positive results, Beijing faces a “severe and complex” external trade environment in 2026, according to Wang Jun, vice minister of China’s customs administration. He expressed confidence in the country’s trade outlook, saying China’s “foreign trade fundamentals remain solid.”
In international developments, Brussels published new guidelines allowing Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers to submit minimum pricing offers, easing previously steep tariffs imposed in response to Beijing’s subsidy programs. The move could mark a significant step toward resolving the EU-China EV trade dispute. Under negotiations, Chinese producers have pledged to raise the prices of battery electric vehicles to create fairer competition with European manufacturers.
China remains the EU’s second-largest trading partner in goods after the United States. Analysts say continued demand for Chinese exports and potential progress in EU trade relations could support China’s trade and economic performance throughout 2026.
The record trade surplus underscores China’s resilience in global commerce, even as trade disputes and economic uncertainties pose ongoing challenges for policymakers.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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