Business
Fed’s Hawkish Stance Sparks Market Sell-Off
Wall Street experienced a sharp decline as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell adopted a hawkish tone during the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The dollar surged to a two-year high, Treasury yields spiked, and Bitcoin tumbled following Powell’s warning of inflation risks and cautious approach to future rate cuts.
The FOMC, as expected, announced a 25-basis-point rate cut, bringing the target range to 4.25%-4.50%. However, the updated economic projections dampened investor sentiment, indicating only two rate cuts in 2025, a significant shift from the four cuts projected in September.
Powell Signals “New Phase” for Monetary Policy
In a press conference, Powell highlighted the Fed’s cautious stance moving forward. “From here, it’s a new phase, and we’re going to be cautious about further cuts,” he said, adding that interest rates are nearing neutral levels—neither stimulating nor restricting economic growth.
While emphasizing the resilience of the U.S. economy, Powell downplayed recession risks. “Most forecasters have been predicting a slowdown in growth for a very long time, and it keeps not happening,” he stated.
Fresh inflation projections fueled the Fed’s recalibrated stance. Headline inflation for 2025 is now expected to hit 2.5%, up from 2.1%, while core inflation is also forecasted at 2.5%, up from 2.2%. Powell reiterated the Fed’s commitment to achieving its 2% inflation target, though he acknowledged it could take “another year or two.”
Market Reaction: Stocks Plunge, Dollar and Yields Surge
The Fed’s stance triggered a broad market sell-off. The S&P 500 fell 3.03% to 5,866.80, the Nasdaq 100 sank 3.74%, and the Dow Jones dropped 1,103 points (-2.54%). Tesla Inc. led the tech sector’s decline, plummeting 8.1%. The CBOE Volatility Index, a measure of market fear, spiked nearly 60%, reflecting heightened investor anxiety.
The dollar index (DXY) climbed 1.22% to 108.265, its highest level in two years, while the euro slid 1.33% to $1.03518, its weakest point since November 2022. Commodities were not spared, with gold dropping 2.3% to $2,584 and silver tumbling 3.9% to a five-week low. Treasury yields surged as investors reassessed rate-cut expectations, with the 10-year yield rising 12 basis points to 4.52%, the highest since late May.
Bitcoin Falls as Powell Rejects Crypto Reserve Tool
Cryptocurrency markets faced additional pressure as Powell dismissed the idea of a U.S. government-backed Bitcoin reserve. “We’re not allowed to own Bitcoin,” Powell clarified, citing legal constraints. Bitcoin fell over 5%, dropping to approximately $100,000, further straining the market.
As the Fed signaled a cautious path forward, concerns over restrictive monetary policy, inflation, and broader economic challenges have fueled investor unease, setting the stage for continued market volatility.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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