A section of a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket is expected to collide with the Moon on Aug. 5 in an unplanned impact that has drawn the attention of astronomers and space agencies. While scientists are closely tracking the event, they say the chances of seeing the collision from Earth remain slim.

The rocket stage dates back to a Falcon 9 mission launched in January 2025, when SpaceX sent two lunar landers toward the Moon. Since completing its task, the upper stage has remained in space, following a trajectory that researchers now believe will end with an impact on the Moon’s surface.

US astronomer Bill Gray, creator of the Project Pluto Guide astronomy software, first calculated the potential collision in September last year. His software, widely used by amateur and professional astronomers to track objects in space, predicts the rocket stage will strike the Moon on Aug. 5, 2026. Earlier estimates had suggested a possible impact in March before updated calculations refined the expected date.

NASA has also been monitoring the object. The agency recently discussed the expected collision during a panel organized by its Solar System Exploration Research Virtual Institute. Lunar observer Brian Day said the Moon is constantly changing as natural impacts regularly alter its surface, making such events an important subject for scientific observation.

According to Space.com, the Falcon 9 upper stage weighs about four tonnes and is traveling at more than two kilometers per second. If it reaches the Moon as predicted, it is expected to create a fresh crater and send a cloud of dust into space.

Scientists are uncertain whether the impact will be visible from Earth. Current projections suggest the rocket stage may strike near the edge of the Moon’s visible surface. If the resulting dust plume catches sunlight at the right angle, telescopes on Earth could potentially detect it.

NASA officials, however, believe that outcome is unlikely. William Cooke, a manager at the US space agency, said it would be “very, very hard to see, if not impossible,” according to the German news agency dpa.

Researchers stress that the event poses no danger to Earth or to future lunar missions. Still, it has renewed attention on the growing amount of space debris left behind after missions.

A similar impact was recorded in 2022, when NASA’s Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter photographed a newly formed crater believed to have been caused by discarded rocket hardware. At the time, scientists suggested an old Chinese rocket stage was responsible, although China denied the claim.

Unlike deliberate crashes used in scientific experiments, the expected Aug. 5 impact was not planned. SpaceX has not publicly commented on the predicted collision.

England secured third place at the FIFA World Cup with a dramatic 6-4 victory over France in a record-breaking playoff match, as Bukayo Saka scored a hat trick and Kylian Mbappé climbed above Lionel Messi on the tournament’s all-time scoring list.

The third-place playoff, played a day before the World Cup final, delivered one of the most entertaining matches in tournament history. England raced into a commanding 4-0 lead by halftime before surviving a determined French comeback to claim their best World Cup finish since lifting the trophy in 1966.

Saka opened the scoring in the 37th minute before adding a second in first-half stoppage time. Declan Rice and Ezri Konsa also found the net as England dominated the opening 45 minutes, leaving France with a mountain to climb after the break.

France responded with renewed energy in the second half, cutting into England’s lead through captain Kylian Mbappé, who struck twice to keep his side in contention. However, Saka completed his second international hat trick from the penalty spot in the 87th minute, restoring England’s advantage at a crucial stage of the contest.

Jude Bellingham sealed the victory with a goal deep into stoppage time, completing the scoring in a match that produced 10 goals and several World Cup milestones.

England manager Thomas Tuchel praised his players despite acknowledging the disappointment of missing out on the final.

“I hope that the players can be proud of that in some time,” Tuchel said after the match.

“We are fiercely competitive, so we almost don’t allow ourselves to be proud of third place because 18 months ago we set the highest goal. We set the highest dream to chase, and we were very, very ambitious with our dream to make it to the final and win the World Cup. So it’s very, very painful if you miss out.”

Although both teams admitted before kickoff that they would rather have been preparing for the championship match, the playoff produced a memorable spectacle.

The 6-4 result became the highest-scoring World Cup match since Hungary defeated El Salvador 10-1 in 1982. It also set a new record for the most goals scored in a World Cup third-place playoff.

Bellingham’s seventh goal of the tournament established a new record for the most goals scored by an England player in a single World Cup campaign.

Mbappé also achieved a significant personal milestone despite France’s defeat. His two goals took his overall World Cup tally to 22, moving him ahead of Lionel Messi on the competition’s all-time scoring chart. The French forward now leads the race for the tournament’s Golden Boot with 10 goals, two ahead of Messi.

Messi will have one final opportunity to reduce that gap when defending champions Argentina face Spain in Sunday’s World Cup final at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.