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Bavarian Nordic Shares Surge Amid Rising Mpox Vaccine Orders and Strong Q2 Earnings

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Mpox Vaccine

Danish biotech giant Bavarian Nordic saw its shares rise on Thursday following the announcement of increased European orders for its Mpox vaccine and a better-than-expected second-quarter earnings report. The company’s robust performance has prompted an upward revision in its 2024 financial guidance, with earnings now expected to hit the higher end of the projected range.

For the full year 2024, Bavarian Nordic anticipates earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) to reach approximately DKK 1,350 million (€180.91 million), while total revenue is projected to be around DKK 5,300 million (€710.38 million). The company’s strong financial outlook is largely attributed to its recent success in securing a 440,000-dose contract for smallpox and Mpox vaccines from an unnamed European country.

This surge in demand for Mpox vaccines across Europe likely stems from heightened efforts by various countries to enhance early preparedness in response to the global Mpox outbreak in 2022. Bavarian Nordic’s Mpox vaccine, JYNNEOS—also known as Imvamune and Imvanes—is one of only two Mpox vaccines approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). It is also recommended by the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization (SAGE).

Paul Chaplin, President and CEO of Bavarian Nordic, expressed satisfaction with the company’s progress in the first half of 2024. “We are pleased to report strong developments for Bavarian Nordic during the first half of 2024. Unfortunately, Mpox is again making global headlines due to the record number of cases reported in Africa,” Chaplin said.

He also highlighted the company’s expanding partnership with the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC), focusing on vaccine supply and manufacturing within the continent. In response to the recent spike in Mpox cases, Bavarian Nordic plans to ramp up vaccine production to ensure equitable access, with the capacity to produce about 10 million doses by the end of next year and potentially deliver up to 2 million doses by the end of 2024.

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The urgency surrounding Mpox vaccination has intensified following the WHO’s recent declaration of a new strain of Mpox as a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC). This marks the first such declaration since May 2022, as the new strain has led to a rise in cases in countries previously unaffected by the virus, including Rwanda, Uganda, Burundi, and Kenya.

Professor Dimie Ogoina, speaking on behalf of the WHO, underscored the global significance of the current Mpox upsurge, particularly in Africa. WHO Regional Director for Africa, Dr. Matshidiso Moeti, emphasized ongoing efforts to combat the outbreak through coordinated international action, highlighting the importance of collaboration with communities and governments to bring the crisis under control.

As Bavarian Nordic continues to scale up its vaccine production, the company is poised to play a critical role in addressing the growing Mpox threat on a global scale.

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New Study Reveals How Coffee May Help Protect the Body From Ageing

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A new study has uncovered a key biological mechanism that may explain why coffee has long been linked to healthier ageing and a lower risk of chronic disease.

Researchers at Texas A&M College of Veterinary Medicine & Biomedical Sciences found that compounds in coffee interact with a protein in the body known as NR4A1, a receptor involved in regulating stress responses, inflammation and cellular repair. The findings shed new light on how coffee may help protect the body from age-related decline.

For years, studies have associated regular coffee consumption with a longer life and reduced risk of conditions such as heart disease, cancer and cognitive decline. Until now, however, the biological processes behind those benefits have remained largely unclear.

The research team identified NR4A1 as a critical target for several naturally occurring compounds in coffee, particularly polyphenols and other polyhydroxylated substances. These compounds bind to the receptor and appear to influence how it functions.

NR4A1 acts as what scientists call a nutrient sensor, responding to dietary compounds and helping the body adapt to stress and damage. It plays an important role in controlling inflammation, maintaining energy balance and promoting tissue repair — all essential processes in healthy ageing.

Stephen Safe, one of the study’s lead researchers, said the findings provide a clearer understanding of coffee’s protective effects. He explained that NR4A1 helps limit damage when tissues are under stress, and that its absence can worsen the effects of injury or disease.

Laboratory tests showed that coffee compounds reduced cellular damage and slowed the growth of cancer cells. When researchers removed NR4A1 from the cells, those benefits disappeared, strongly suggesting that the receptor is central to coffee’s protective action.

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The study also highlights that coffee’s health effects are likely driven by more than caffeine alone. Decaffeinated coffee has also been linked to improvements in learning and memory, indicating that other components, including polyphenols, may play a significant role.

Recent research has suggested that moderate consumption of caffeinated coffee may also reduce anxiety, improve attention and vigilance, and lower levels of inflammation.

Scientists caution that while the findings are promising, more research is needed to determine how significant the NR4A1 pathway is in humans and how it interacts with other biological systems.

Still, the discovery offers an important step toward understanding why coffee remains one of the most widely studied beverages in nutrition science. It also reinforces the idea that compounds found in everyday foods and drinks can play a meaningful role in supporting long-term health and resilience as people age.

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Study Finds Rise in 11 Cancers Among Younger Adults in England

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A major study has found that rates of 11 types of cancer are increasing among younger adults in England, raising fresh concerns among researchers about factors driving the trend.

The study, conducted by the Institute of Cancer Research and Imperial College London, examined cancer diagnoses between 2001 and 2019 in adults aged 20 to 49. It identified rising incidence in a range of cancers, including breast, colorectal, pancreatic and kidney cancers.

The full list includes breast, colorectal, pancreatic, kidney, liver, gallbladder, thyroid, ovarian and endometrial cancers, as well as oral cancer and multiple myeloma, a form of blood cancer.

Researchers noted that for most of these cancers, rates have also increased among older adults, where cancer remains far more common. This suggests that some shared risk factors may be affecting multiple age groups.

Two cancers, however, stood out. Rates of colorectal and ovarian cancer rose only among younger adults, pointing to possible age-specific causes that are not yet fully understood.

Scientists examined a range of established cancer risk factors, including smoking, alcohol consumption, diet, physical activity and body weight. While these factors are known to contribute significantly to cancer risk, they do not appear to fully explain the recent rise in cases among younger people.

In fact, many of these traditional risk factors have either remained stable or improved over recent decades. Smoking rates have declined, alcohol consumption has generally fallen or levelled off, physical inactivity has decreased, and intake of red and processed meat has dropped.

Obesity was the notable exception. Rates of obesity have risen steadily across all adult age groups and remain a significant contributor to cancer risk. Even so, researchers found that obesity alone could not account for the broader increase in cancer diagnoses among younger adults.

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This was particularly true for cancers commonly associated with excess body weight, such as bowel, kidney, pancreatic, liver, gallbladder and endometrial cancers. While rising obesity may be playing a role, it does not fully explain the trend.

The findings suggest that other factors may be contributing. Researchers say further investigation is urgently needed into possible causes, including environmental exposures, changes in diet or lifestyle during childhood, and other early-life influences.

They also pointed to the possibility that improved diagnostic tools, increased screening and greater public awareness may be leading to more cases being detected.

Public health experts say the study highlights the need for continued prevention efforts, particularly in tackling smoking and obesity, which remain more common in disadvantaged communities. As researchers work to better understand the causes, the rise in cancer among younger adults is likely to remain an important area of focus for health authorities.

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AI Tool Uses Facial Ageing to Help Predict Cancer Survival

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Researchers in the United States have developed an artificial intelligence system that uses changes in facial appearance over time to help predict how cancer patients may respond to treatment and their chances of survival.

The tool, known as FaceAge, was created by scientists at Mass General Brigham. It estimates a person’s biological age from a photograph, offering a measure of how old the body appears physiologically rather than simply counting years since birth.

Biological age can differ from chronological age, as factors such as illness, stress and lifestyle often accelerate the ageing process. Researchers say facial features may provide important clues about a person’s overall health.

Earlier studies using FaceAge found that cancer patients typically appeared about five years older biologically than their actual age. Those with older-looking facial profiles were also more likely to experience poorer outcomes following treatment.

In the latest research, scientists introduced a new metric called Face Aging Rate, or FAR, which tracks changes in biological age over time by comparing multiple photographs. The method is designed to monitor how quickly a person appears to age, potentially offering a real-time indicator of health.

The study analysed images of 2,276 cancer patients treated at Brigham and Women’s Hospital between 2012 and 2023. All participants had undergone at least two courses of radiation therapy, with photographs taken routinely during their treatment.

Researchers found that, on average, patients’ facial ageing progressed about 40% faster than their actual chronological ageing. Those with higher FAR scores had significantly lower survival rates, particularly when the photographs were taken more than two years apart.

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The findings suggest that changes in facial appearance over time may provide valuable insight into a patient’s condition and long-term prognosis.

The study also examined FaceAge Deviation, a separate measure comparing biological age from a single photograph with a person’s actual age. While higher scores were also linked to poorer outcomes, FAR proved to be a stronger and more reliable predictor of survival over extended periods.

Researchers believe combining both measures could offer a more complete picture of a patient’s health and disease progression.

Dr Raymond Mak, a radiation oncologist at Mass General Brigham Cancer Institute, said the technology could help doctors refine treatment plans, improve patient counselling and determine the most appropriate follow-up care.

The team also sees broader potential beyond oncology. Future research will explore whether the technology could help assess other chronic illnesses or even provide early health insights for otherwise healthy individuals.

To support ongoing studies, researchers have launched a public web portal where users can upload a photograph, receive a FaceAge estimate and contribute data to further development of the tool.

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