Italy’s economy expanded by 0.7% in 2024, driven by domestic consumption and increased exports, while the country’s budget deficit saw a significant decline, according to data from the national statistics office Istat.
GDP Growth Surpasses Expectations but Falls Short of Government Targets
The 0.7% GDP growth matched Italy’s 2023 expansion rate, exceeding the Bank of Italy’s 0.5% forecast but falling short of the government’s 1% growth target.
Italy’s performance stood midway among major European economies, outpacing Germany’s 0.2% contraction but lagging behind France’s 1.1% expansion.
The primary driver of growth was domestic consumption, with household spending increasing by 0.4% year-on-year, while government expenditure rose by 1.1%. External trade also contributed positively, as exports climbed 0.4%, while imports declined by 0.7%, reducing the trade deficit.
Sectoral Performance and Manufacturing Challenges
Several sectors saw positive growth in 2024, with agriculture, forestry, and fishing expanding by 2%, while construction grew by 1.2% and services by 0.6%. However, mining, manufacturing, and other industrial activities declined slightly by 0.1%.
Concerns remain over Italy’s struggling manufacturing sector, which has been in contraction for nearly a year. The HCOB Italy Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose to 47.4 in February from 46.3 in January, but remained below the 50-mark, indicating continued contraction.
Italy’s Budget Deficit Falls, Public Debt Rises
One of the most significant economic improvements came in Italy’s budget deficit, which fell sharply to 3.4% of GDP in 2024, compared to 7.2% in 2023. The general government net borrowing stood at €75.5 billion.
Italy remains under pressure from the EU’s excessive deficit proceedings and is working to bring its budget deficit below 3% of GDP by 2026, in line with European fiscal rules. The government aims to reduce the deficit to 3.3% in 2025.
Despite the improvement in the deficit, Italy’s public debt rose slightly to 135.3% of GDP, up from 134.6% in 2023.
Economic Outlook
While domestic consumption and services are expected to support short-term growth, challenges remain in the manufacturing sector and public debt levels. Italy’s future economic trajectory will depend on global trade conditions, fiscal policies, and potential stimulus measures from the government.