Business
EU Labour Market Slack Reveals ‘Hidden Unemployment’ Beyond Official Jobless Figures
Europe’s unemployment rate does not capture the full scale of underutilised labour, with new Eurostat figures showing that millions more are effectively without work when broader measures are considered.
According to data for the second quarter of 2025, 13.3 million people aged 15 to 74 in the EU were officially unemployed. But when including groups excluded by the standard definition of unemployment—such as those available to work but not actively seeking, underemployed part-timers, and people looking for work but not immediately available—the figure rises to 26.8 million.
This broader measure, known as labour market slack, provides a more comprehensive picture of Europe’s workforce challenges. Eurostat reported that slack stood at 11.7 percent of the EU labour force in Q2 2025, compared with an official unemployment rate of 5.8 percent. The remainder included 2.6 percent who were available to work but not actively job-hunting, 2.4 percent underemployed in part-time roles, and 0.9 percent seeking work but not available to start immediately.
The disparities across Europe are stark. Labour market slack ranged from just 5.1 percent in Poland—the lowest level in the bloc—to 25.8 percent in Turkey, which Eurostat described as an outlier. Finland (19.5 percent), Sweden (18.8 percent), and Spain (18.6 percent) also ranked among the highest. By contrast, Slovenia (5.3 percent), Malta (5.4 percent), and Bulgaria (5.5 percent) joined Poland at the lower end of the scale.
Among the EU’s four largest economies, Germany recorded the lowest slack at 7.8 percent, comfortably beneath the EU average. France (15.4 percent), Italy (15 percent), and Spain (18.6 percent), however, were all in the top cluster.
Experts say these differences stem from several factors. Dorothea Schmidt-Klau, head of the employment, labour markets and youth branch at the International Labour Organization in Geneva, said persistently high unemployment in some countries had discouraged active job searching. “Decades of high unemployment have created a sense that searching is futile,” she noted.
Other drivers include weak support systems, such as limited childcare options, and cultural norms that restrict labour participation. In addition, skills mismatches and a shortage of high-quality jobs often leave workers discouraged even after investing in training.
The share of people available to work but not actively seeking varies sharply across Europe. In Czechia, this group represented just 0.3 percent of the labour force, compared with 12.3 percent in Turkey, where it even exceeded the unemployment rate of 8.6 percent.
Part-time underemployment is another significant contributor. The Netherlands (5.1 percent), Finland (4.8 percent), and Ireland (4.7 percent) recorded the highest shares, with Switzerland, Turkey, and Spain also above 4 percent.
In countries such as the Netherlands, Turkey, Ireland, and Switzerland, unemployment accounts for only around one-third of labour market slack—highlighting that traditional jobless figures significantly understate the scale of underutilised labour.
Business
Global Markets Rise as US–Iran Talks Ease Sentiment, but Oil and Geopolitical Risks Persist
Global financial markets advanced on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations, though ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices kept risk sentiment fragile.
European equities opened higher across the board. The DAX gained 0.64%, supported by a 3.61% rise in Deutsche Post AG shares. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.65%, led by a 3.43% jump in STMicroelectronics. In London, the FTSE 100 rose 0.38%, with gains in financial stocks including 3i Group, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 0.88%.
Currency markets were relatively steady, with the euro trading at $1.161 and the British pound at $1.342 in early European trading. Sentiment was also lifted by better-than-expected economic data from Germany, where first-quarter growth came in at 0.4% year on year and consumer confidence improved heading into June, offering cautious optimism for Europe’s largest economy.
Asian markets followed the upward trend. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.7% to 63,339 after data showed inflation easing to a four-year low of 1.4% in April. Taiwan’s Taiex rose 2.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite each gained 0.9%. South Korea, Australia, and India also posted modest increases, reflecting broad regional strength.
Wall Street had earlier closed slightly higher. The S&P 500 added 0.2%, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. However, technology stocks showed mixed signals, with Nvidia falling 1.8% despite strong quarterly results, as investors weighed valuations against broader market uncertainty.
Oil markets remained the key source of volatility. Brent crude climbed 2.3% to $104.97 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate rose 1.8% to $98.10. Prices remain significantly above pre-conflict levels, driven by continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil flows pass.
Shipping through the strategic waterway remains constrained, with limited signs of recovery as diplomatic negotiations continue without resolution. Analysts say markets are highly sensitive to developments in talks between Washington and Tehran, with ING commodities strategists noting that optimism exists but uncertainty dominates trading conditions.
Geopolitical tensions also weighed on policy discussions in Washington, where a planned congressional vote on war powers legislation was postponed amid insufficient support.
In bond markets, US Treasury yields eased slightly to 4.57% after earlier spikes driven by inflation concerns linked to energy prices. The movement reflected ongoing caution among investors balancing growth expectations with persistent geopolitical risk.
Corporate earnings added a bright spot in Asia, where Lenovo Group surged more than 20% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue of $21.6 billion, driven by robust performance in its PC and smart devices division.
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