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Vatican Prepares for New Conclave Following Pope Francis’ Death
With the passing of Pope Francis, the Catholic Church is preparing for one of its most significant events: the papal conclave. Following the traditional nine-day mourning period known as the Novendiales, cardinals from around the world will gather in the Sistine Chapel to elect the next pope.
As of January 22, 2025, there are 138 eligible cardinal electors under the age of 80 out of a total of 252 cardinals. These electors will vote up to four times a day in strict secrecy until one candidate secures a two-thirds majority. While conclaves can be brief—such as the one-day election of Pope Pius XII in 1939—they may also be lengthy. Pope Francis was chosen after five ballots over two days in 2013.
This year’s conclave comes after a papacy marked by a clear departure from Francis’ predecessor, Pope Benedict XVI. Francis focused on outreach, humility, and inclusion—an approach that may influence the choice of his successor.
Several potential candidates are being closely watched:
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Cardinal Pietro Parolin (Italy), 70, currently Vatican Secretary of State, is viewed as a top contender. A skilled diplomat and close Francis ally, he would represent continuity, though in a more reserved style. His involvement in the Vatican’s China deal and his deep ties in Latin America make him a leading candidate.
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Cardinal Luis Tagle (Philippines), 67, is another strong possibility. A favorite of Pope Francis, Tagle leads the Vatican’s evangelization efforts and symbolizes the Church’s growing shift toward Asia and the Global South.
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Cardinal Peter Erdo (Hungary), 72, is respected among European bishops and has strong ties with African counterparts. His leadership in the Council of European Episcopal Conferences twice suggests wide support.
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Cardinal Robert Prevost (USA), 69, born in Chicago with missionary experience in Peru, currently oversees bishop appointments worldwide. Despite traditional hesitations around an American pope, Prevost’s global background could make him a serious contender.
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Cardinal Marc Ouellet (Canada), 80, though now too old to vote, remains influential. He once led the Vatican’s bishops office and represents a more conservative but pastorally sensitive perspective.
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Cardinal Reinhard Marx (Germany), 71, is known for pushing reforms in the German church and may face opposition from conservatives.
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Cardinal Robert Sarah (Guinea), 79, a favorite among traditionalists, has long been seen as a strong African candidate, though his tense relationship with Pope Francis may limit his chances.
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Cardinal Christoph Schönborn (Austria), 80, a theological heavyweight close to Benedict XVI, has also supported Francis’ reforms—bridging both camps.
As the Church prepares for a new chapter, the conclave’s outcome will determine whether the next pope will continue in Francis’ footsteps or shift toward a more conservative or traditional approach.
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EU Must End ‘Naivety’ on Trade and Confront China’s Industrial Strategy, Says French Minister
France’s Minister for Foreign Trade, Nicolas Forissier, has called on the European Union to abandon what he described as “naivety” in its approach to global trade, urging a tougher stance on countries accused of distorting markets through industrial policy and trade practices.
Speaking in an interview with Euronews’ 12 Minutes With programme, Forissier said Europe must respond more firmly to what he described as the weaponisation of trade dependencies, warning that China in particular could damage its own long-term interests by undermining European industry.
“The Chinese have to understand that they won’t win anything if they destroy the European industry and then the European market, which is an essential market for them,” he said. “We must no longer be naive.”
His comments come as the European Commission prepares to hold an “orientation debate” next week on how to respond to a surge of low-cost Chinese imports. The discussion is expected to shape possible new trade defence measures, with further talks likely when EU leaders meet in Brussels in mid-June.
Forissier said the shift in thinking was not limited to China alone but applied to any country using commercial leverage to gain strategic advantage. “It is not only China,” he said. “It is all the countries that weaponise trade.”
Among the proposals under consideration is a requirement for EU companies to diversify supply chains, sourcing components from at least three different suppliers in order to reduce dependency on any single foreign market. Asked whether he supported such a measure, Forissier replied: “Yes, we have to.”
Other options include targeted tariffs on sensitive industries such as chemicals, alongside stronger use of anti-dumping and anti-subsidy tools to counter imports priced below domestic market levels. These measures are designed to address concerns over overcapacity in China’s industrial sector and its impact on European manufacturers.
The debate is taking place against a backdrop of widening trade imbalances. EU goods imports from China exceeded exports by €359.3 billion in 2025, marking an increase of nearly 20% compared with the previous year.
China has already warned it could retaliate if the bloc imposes new restrictions, raising concerns about potential escalation in trade tensions between two of the world’s largest economies.
France has repeatedly pushed for a more assertive European trade policy, arguing that state subsidies, export controls on raw materials and industrial overproduction in major economies are distorting global markets.
Forissier stressed that Europe must maintain open dialogue with Beijing while defending its own industrial base. “We try to respect the Chinese,” he said. “The Chinese have to respect us, and this is the message European institutions have to send.”
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