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U.S. Strikes on Iran Spark Conflicting Intelligence Reports and Renewed Nuclear Concerns
The Trump administration has doubled down on claims that its recent airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities caused “severe damage,” following leaked assessments that cast doubt on the operation’s long-term impact. The conflicting reports have sparked debate within Washington’s intelligence and defense communities over the true extent of the damage and the future of Iran’s nuclear program.
On Wednesday, CIA Director John Ratcliffe said new intelligence confirmed that key Iranian nuclear sites were “destroyed” and would take “years” to rebuild. While he did not go as far as declaring the program eliminated, he said the damage was significant enough to degrade Iran’s capabilities.
This follows a leaked preliminary assessment by the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), which concluded that Iran’s nuclear program had suffered only temporary setbacks and that some operations could resume within months. The DIA also reported that much of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile had been relocated before the strikes — a claim the head of the UN’s International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said was plausible.
President Donald Trump, who initially hailed the use of U.S. bunker-buster bombs at the Fordow and Natanz sites as a “spectacular military success,” dismissed the DIA report and accused the media of spreading “fake news.” However, during a NATO summit in The Hague, he appeared to soften his stance, calling the intelligence “inconclusive” before later insisting the strikes had set Iran back “decades.”
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth described the damage as “moderate to severe” and rejected the DIA report as inaccurate. Israeli officials have supported the U.S. position, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office stating that the Fordow facility had been rendered “inoperable” and that the joint U.S.-Israeli operation had pushed back Iran’s nuclear ambitions by years.
Independent experts, however, urged caution. Jeffrey Lewis, a nonproliferation expert at the Middlebury Institute, told the Associated Press that assessing the extent of the damage so soon after the strikes was premature. “Either it’s too early to know, or you know,” he said.
The IAEA confirmed “extensive damage” at both Natanz and Fordow, noting visible impact points and disrupted infrastructure, but also emphasized that Iran retained the technical knowledge and capacity to rebuild its program. IAEA Director Rafael Grossi urged renewed diplomatic efforts and stressed the importance of allowing inspectors back into the affected sites.
As the U.S. and Iran prepare for possible diplomatic talks following nearly two weeks of open conflict between Israel and Iran, Trump dismissed the need for a formal agreement, claiming the damage inflicted would be deterrent enough. “They’ve had it,” he said.
Meanwhile, the IAEA continues to push for long-term solutions, warning against speculative timelines and emphasizing that Iran’s capabilities cannot be assessed by damage alone.
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Trump Weighs Troop Cuts in Spain and Italy Amid Growing Rift Over Iran War
President Donald Trump said on Friday that he is considering reducing the US military presence in Spain and Italy, widening a dispute with key NATO allies over their opposition to the ongoing war with Iran.
Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office, Trump suggested both countries had failed to adequately support Washington’s military campaign in the Middle East.
“Yeah, probably, I probably will. Why shouldn’t I?” Trump said when asked whether he would withdraw troops from the two countries. He added that Italy “has not been of any help” and described Spain as “absolutely horrible.”
The comments came just one day after Trump floated a similar proposal regarding Germany, following criticism from German Chancellor Friedrich Merz over the administration’s handling of the Iran conflict.
Trump has repeatedly argued that the US-led campaign against Iran serves the security interests of the entire Western alliance. He has expressed frustration that several NATO members have not provided stronger military or political backing, particularly in efforts to counter Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
According to the latest Pentagon figures, the United States has about 36,000 troops stationed in Germany, roughly 12,600 in Italy and nearly 3,800 in Spain. While Trump did not specify the scale of any potential reductions, reports in US media suggest the cuts under consideration could be substantial.
Tensions with Italy have grown in recent weeks after Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni publicly questioned the war. Trump, once a close ally of the Italian leader, accused her of lacking the courage to fully support the campaign.
Relations with Spain have been strained for longer. Disagreements initially emerged over Madrid’s stance on the war in Gaza and later expanded to include defence spending and NATO commitments. Spain has resisted Trump’s push for alliance members to raise defence spending to 5 per cent of gross domestic product.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has said Spain will only increase military spending when it aligns with national interests. That position has drawn repeated criticism from Washington.
The Trump administration has previously threatened trade measures against Spain and has even raised the possibility of suspending the country from NATO. Reports last week indicated that such discussions have resurfaced amid Spain’s refusal to support the Iran campaign.
The diplomatic tensions come as the war enters its third month, with no clear end in sight. The conflict has disrupted global energy markets, especially after the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude settled at around $114 a barrel on Friday, sharply higher than the roughly $70 level seen before the conflict began.
Trump’s latest remarks are likely to deepen divisions within NATO at a time when alliance unity is already under strain.
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Trump Threatens Troop Reduction in Germany Amid Dispute With Chancellor Merz
US President Donald Trump has suggested that the United States could reduce its military presence in Germany, escalating tensions with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz over the handling of the conflict involving Iran.
In a social media post on Wednesday, Trump said Washington was reviewing the possibility of withdrawing some American troops from Germany, with a decision expected soon. The announcement comes amid a growing public disagreement between the two leaders over US strategy in the Middle East.
“The United States is studying and reviewing the possible reduction of troops in Germany,” Trump wrote, signalling that the longstanding American military footprint in Europe’s largest economy could once again be under scrutiny.
Germany hosts some of the most important US military facilities outside the United States, including Ramstein Air Base, the headquarters of US European Command and US Africa Command, and Landstuhl Regional Medical Center, the largest American military hospital abroad.
Trump’s latest warning follows comments by Merz earlier this week, in which the German leader said Washington was being “humiliated” by Iran and questioned the effectiveness of the US approach to the conflict. Merz has repeatedly called for a clearer strategy and a diplomatic resolution to the crisis.
Despite the sharp exchange, Merz said on Wednesday that his personal relationship with Trump remained strong. He added, however, that he had harboured concerns from the outset about the military campaign against Iran.
The two leaders met at the White House in March, shortly after the United States and Israel launched strikes on Iranian targets. At the time, Merz said Germany was prepared to work closely with Washington on future regional strategy, while also warning that a prolonged conflict could inflict serious damage on the global economy.
That concern has intensified as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz continues to disrupt global energy markets. The vital waterway, through which about one-fifth of the world’s oil supply normally passes, has remained effectively shut since fighting began in late February.
“We are suffering considerably in Germany and in Europe from the consequences of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz,” Merz said, urging all sides to seek a resolution.
Trump, however, has shown increasing frustration with Germany’s stance. In a post on Tuesday, he criticised Merz’s remarks on Iran and accused the chancellor of misunderstanding the threat posed by Tehran’s nuclear ambitions.
This is not the first time Trump has threatened to reduce US troop levels in Germany. During his first term, he announced plans to withdraw nearly 10,000 troops, citing Berlin’s defence spending. That proposal was later halted by the Biden administration.
Any renewed reduction would likely raise fresh questions about US commitment to NATO and European security at a time of heightened global instability.
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