Health
Experts Warn of Potentially Harsh Flu Season in Europe Amid Low Vaccination Rates
As Europe approaches the start of flu season, health experts are warning that this year’s outbreak could be particularly severe due to low vaccination rates and early signs of strong influenza activity in other parts of the world.
The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) reported that while flu-like illnesses remain relatively low across most countries, cases are beginning to rise — a trend typical for this time of year. Europe’s flu season usually runs from mid-November to late May, though experts note that traditional seasonal patterns have shifted since the COVID-19 pandemic.
“Last year’s flu season was unusually large,” said Professor Colin Russell of Amsterdam University Medical Center and chair of the European Scientific Working Group on Influenza (ESWI). “We’re now in a wait-and-see mode to determine how this one develops.”
ECDC data shows that 11 countries have already reported sporadic flu activity, while health authorities in the United Kingdom have observed rising cases, particularly among children. According to Dr. Anna Odone, Director of the School of Public Health at the University of Pavia in Italy, the severity of this year’s flu season will depend on several key factors — the vulnerability of the population, the dominant strain of the virus, and environmental conditions. “If it’s a long, cold winter, people will spend more time indoors, which helps the virus spread,” she said.
Globally, influenza trends are being closely monitored for early warnings. Japan recently declared an influenza epidemic five weeks earlier than usual, while Australia and New Zealand have seen a surge in the H3N2 strain of influenza A. These developments could foreshadow Europe’s upcoming flu landscape, though experts caution that it is still too early to identify which strains will dominate across the continent.
Influenza remains a significant public health concern, contributing to around 27,600 deaths annually across the EU and infecting up to one in five Europeans each winter. While the illness often causes mild symptoms in healthy individuals, it can be dangerous for older adults, young children, and those with chronic conditions.
Vaccination remains the most effective way to prevent serious illness, yet flu vaccination rates across Europe have fallen short of the EU’s 75% target. Most countries reported coverage well below 50% last season, with Denmark, Ireland, Portugal, and Sweden among the few nearing the goal.
The ECDC has urged local authorities to “strengthen public trust, improve access, and ensure that parents and caregivers are well-informed” about the importance of timely vaccination. Health officials recommend that high-risk groups — including the elderly, pregnant women, young children, and healthcare workers — receive their flu shots as soon as possible.
“The easy answer is, if you’re not vaccinated yet, go get vaccinated now,” Russell said. “It takes about two weeks for your body to build protection, and flu season is already on its way.”
Health
Medieval Manuscripts Reveal Thousands-Year History of Deadly Sheep Virus
DNA recovered from medieval manuscripts has given scientists new clues about the long history of sheep pox, a highly contagious disease that has threatened livestock for thousands of years.
An international team led by researchers at University College Dublin discovered traces of sheep pox virus in parchment used for some of Europe’s historic manuscripts. The findings suggest that animal diseases may have left genetic records in old documents, providing scientists with another way to study how pathogens developed over time.
During the Middle Ages, parchment was commonly made from the treated skin of sheep, goats and cattle. Researchers extracted DNA from the animal skins used to produce centuries-old manuscripts and identified genetic material linked to the sheep pox virus.
The study involved geneticists, historians, virologists, protein chemists and conservation specialists. Louis L’Hôte, the study’s lead author, said the research showed that parchment could preserve DNA from animal pathogens and provide valuable evidence about infectious diseases in the past.
Among the manuscripts examined was the approximately 1,000-year-old York Gospels, considered one of the finest surviving illuminated manuscripts from the late Anglo-Saxon period. Researchers also examined the Corpus Glossary at Corpus Christi College in Cambridge, an early English dictionary, along with other medieval texts from Britain and continental Europe.
In some manuscripts, several pages contained sheep pox virus DNA. Researchers said this could indicate that animals infected with the disease were used to produce the parchment.
The team compared the genetic material recovered from the manuscripts with older DNA samples obtained from Bronze Age sheep teeth. Their analysis indicated that sheep pox has affected livestock for more than 3,700 years.
Sheep pox spreads quickly among animals and can infect a large proportion of a flock. The disease causes fever and skin lesions and can result in death. Outbreaks can also cause major financial losses through reduced milk production, damage to wool and hides, and restrictions on livestock trade.
There is no evidence that sheep pox infects humans.
The research, published in Science Advances, also provided insight into how the virus changed over time. Scientists found that the sheep pox virus genome remained relatively stable during the past several thousand years.
L’Hôte said the finding contrasts with the evolutionary history of some other pathogens, including smallpox. The stability of the sheep pox genome may indicate that important genetic changes occurred much earlier in the virus’s history and helped it adapt to sheep.
Researchers said the work could encourage scientists to examine other archives and libraries for genetic traces of historic animal diseases. Ancient DNA preserved in manuscripts could offer a new source of information about outbreaks that affected livestock and societies long before modern disease surveillance existed.
Health
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Health
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