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Eurozone Business Activity Declines Sharply in November Amid Service Sector Slump

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Business activity across the eurozone contracted sharply in November, with the services sector joining manufacturing in a downturn that signals the region’s steepest economic decline since January.

The Flash Eurozone Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a key indicator of economic health, dropped to 48.1 from October’s neutral 50.0. This unexpected contraction underscores mounting economic challenges, defying market forecasts of an unchanged reading.

Services Join Manufacturing in Contraction

The services sector, long a pillar of eurozone resilience, fell into contraction for the first time in 10 months. Its PMI dropped to 49.2 from 51.6 in October, while manufacturing continued its prolonged slump, with its PMI falling to 45.2. This marked 20 consecutive months of declining production.

“The eurozone’s manufacturing sector is sinking deeper into recession, and now the services sector is starting to falter,” said Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank. He attributed the struggles to ongoing political uncertainty in the bloc’s largest economies.

Declining new orders, which fell for the sixth straight month, further pressured businesses. Export demand also weakened significantly, leading some firms to cut employment slightly.

Inflation Resurfaces, Complicating ECB’s Path

Despite the slowdown in activity, inflationary pressures intensified. Input cost inflation hit a three-month high, driven by rising service-sector costs, even as manufacturing costs declined.

Output prices accelerated compared to October, creating a challenging environment for the European Central Bank (ECB).

“The eurozone is in a stagflationary environment—activity is declining, yet prices are rising,” de la Rubia explained. He noted that surging service sector prices could complicate the ECB’s monetary policy decisions, with some policymakers potentially advocating for rate cuts in December.

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Germany and France Show Deeper Weakness

The eurozone’s largest economies, Germany and France, reported sharper-than-expected contractions in November.

France’s services PMI dropped to 45.7 from 49.2, marking its worst performance since January. Domestic political uncertainty continued to weigh heavily on its economy.

Germany’s services PMI fell to 49.4 from 51.6, its first contraction in nine months. Rising costs, especially wages, compounded challenges for companies.

Market Reaction: Euro, Equities, and Banks Fall

The unexpected economic contraction sent ripples through financial markets. The euro tumbled over 1% against the dollar to $1.04, its lowest since November 2022, as investors anticipated accelerated ECB rate cuts.

Eurozone bond yields also declined, with Germany’s 10-year Bund yield falling eight basis points to 2.25%. Equities followed suit, with the Euro STOXX 50 index dropping 0.7%.

Banks bore the brunt of the selloff, with shares of major lenders such as Deutsche Bank, Societe Generale, and Unicredit falling by 2.5% to 4%. Conversely, defensive sectors like utilities gained, reflecting a shift in investor preference amid economic uncertainty.

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Europe Sees Wider Price Gap for Apple’s iPhone 17 Pro as Taxes and Currency Drive Costs

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The price of Apple’s latest iPhone 17 Pro varies sharply across global markets, with European consumers in many countries paying significantly more than buyers in the United States, according to a new report by Deutsche Bank Research.

The bank’s Mapping the World’s Prices 2026 report compared the cost of the 256GB iPhone 17 Pro in 41 markets and found that Turkey is the world’s most expensive country to purchase the device. At €2,222, the smartphone costs more than twice the U.S. price of €1,012, making Turkey the only market where consumers pay over 100 percent more than American buyers.

The report attributes the large price differences to taxes, tariffs and currency movements rather than changes in the product itself. Apple sells the same model globally, but local fiscal policies and exchange rates have created substantial differences in retail prices.

Among European countries, Switzerland offers the lowest price at €1,187, helped by its relatively low value-added tax of 8.1 percent. Hungary ranks second as the most expensive European market, with the device priced at €1,565, reflecting the country’s 27 percent VAT, one of the highest in Europe.

Outside Europe, Japan is the only market where the iPhone 17 Pro is cheaper than in the United States, with a retail price of €961. South Korea matches the U.S. price at €1,012. The report noted that Japan’s weaker yen and strong domestic competition in South Korea contributed to the lower pricing in those markets.

Brazil ranked as the second most expensive country worldwide, with the iPhone selling for €1,937. Egypt placed third at €1,605, while Mexico ranked sixth at €1,420.

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Among Europe’s five largest economies, the United Kingdom offered the lowest price at €1,265, followed by Germany at €1,293, Spain at €1,312, France at €1,323 and Italy at €1,332. Although the differences among these countries are relatively modest, all remain more expensive than the U.S. market.

The report also examined how pricing has changed over the past decade by comparing the iPhone 17 Pro with the iPhone 7 released in 2017. It found that the price gap between Europe and the United States has widened in several countries.

Turkey recorded the largest increase, with the premium over U.S. prices rising from 47 percent in 2017 to 119 percent in 2026. Brazil experienced a similar trend, with its premium increasing from 37 percent to 91 percent. Norway, Sweden, Finland and the United Kingdom also posted notable increases in the price gap over the same period.

Researchers pointed to Turkey’s special consumption tax and the country’s IMEI registration fee as major contributors to the exceptionally high cost. Even consumers who purchase an iPhone abroad must pay an IMEI registration fee of 54,258 Turkish lira, equivalent to about €1,006, to use the device on Turkish mobile networks.

The report also warned that the affordability gap is even greater when income levels are considered. While the figures compare retail prices, average annual wages differ significantly between countries. According to OECD data, average annual earnings ranged from €18,590 in Turkey to €107,487 in Switzerland in 2025, meaning the financial burden of buying the device varies far more than the listed price alone.

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CXMT Shares Soar 472% in China’s Biggest IPO in Years

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Shares of China’s largest memory chipmaker, CXMT, surged 472 per cent in their Shanghai debut on Monday, marking one of the biggest initial public offerings on mainland China in recent years and highlighting the growing importance of the semiconductor industry.

The stock was trading 462 per cent higher by early afternoon in Asia, giving CXMT a market capitalisation of about 3.3 trillion yuan, or approximately €415 billion. The company briefly became the most valuable company listed on a mainland Chinese exchange, although its valuation remained below those of South Korean and US memory chip giants Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix and Micron Technology.

CXMT raised at least $8.6 billion, approximately €7.3 billion, through the offering. Its shares were priced at 8.66 yuan, or about €1.10, before the listing on the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s STAR Market, which is designed for technology companies.

The offering was mainland China’s second-largest IPO after Agricultural Bank of China’s dual listing in Shanghai and Hong Kong in 2010, which raised $22.1 billion, approximately €18.8 billion.

Founded in 2016 in Hefei, CXMT is one of the world’s largest producers of DRAM memory chips. These semiconductors are used in a wide range of products, including artificial intelligence servers, cars, smartphones and personal computers.

The company has benefited from the rapid expansion of AI while also gaining importance as Beijing seeks to reduce China’s dependence on foreign technology. US-led export restrictions have limited China’s access to advanced chipmaking equipment and high-bandwidth memory, or HBM, which is widely used in AI systems.

CXMT’s revenue reached 50.8 billion yuan, approximately €6.4 billion, in the first three months of 2026, rising more than 700 per cent from a year earlier as demand for memory chips surged.

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The global expansion of AI has contributed to a shortage of memory chips and pushed up prices for some computers and smartphones. Analysts are watching whether CXMT can help ease supply pressures while expanding its international market share.

Counterpoint Research ranked CXMT as the world’s fourth-largest DRAM producer by shipments in 2025, with about 8 per cent of the global market. Samsung held 36 per cent, SK Hynix 29 per cent and Micron about 24 per cent. CXMT’s share rose to around 9 per cent in the first quarter of 2026 and is forecast to reach about 11 per cent by 2028.

The company faces major challenges in expanding production because restrictions limit access to some of the world’s most advanced chipmaking tools. CXMT has increasingly relied on domestic equipment suppliers.

US lawmakers have also called for restrictions on American companies purchasing CXMT chips. The company has been designated by the Pentagon as having links to the Chinese military, a classification Beijing has rejected in many cases.

The IPO came shortly after SK Hynix raised $26.5 billion through a Nasdaq listing, underlining the intense competition among global memory chipmakers as AI demand continues to reshape the semiconductor industry.

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Oil Prices Fall as US-Iran Pause Military Action and Shipping Risks Ease

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Oil prices fell in early trading on Monday, extending a decline from the two-month high reached last week as the United States and Iran refrained from launching further military strikes in the Persian Gulf.

Brent crude for September delivery fell 4.66 per cent to $92.27 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude dropped 5.02 per cent to $84.83.

Brent, the international benchmark, briefly reached $102 a barrel last week. That was about $30 higher than the most actively traded contract had been at the beginning of the month and marked the highest level since May.

Oil prices had risen sharply this month as fighting in the Middle East intensified and markets grew concerned that a return to full-scale war could further disrupt global crude supplies.

The safety of tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has remained a major concern for energy markets since the United States and Israel attacked Iran in late February. The narrow waterway off Iran’s coast carries about one-fifth of the world’s oil supplies from the Persian Gulf to international markets.

The conflict has severely reduced shipping activity through the strait, forcing producers and exporters to seek alternative routes. Those routes have also come under pressure, with attacks last week targeting Saudi oil tankers travelling through the Red Sea.

Any prolonged reduction in available crude supplies could push prices higher and raise fuel costs for consumers and businesses.

The latest decline in oil prices comes as inflation had begun to ease more quickly than many economists expected. However, the recent surge in energy prices has renewed concerns about the outlook for consumer prices.

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Traders are now pricing in a 36 per cent chance that the Federal Reserve will raise its main interest rate at an upcoming meeting, according to CME Group data.

Higher interest rates can help reduce inflation by limiting borrowing and spending, but they can also slow economic activity by making loans more expensive for households and businesses.

Although oil prices have surrendered part of their substantial July gains, uncertainty remains high. Markets continue to monitor developments in the Middle East, the safety of key shipping routes and the potential impact of ongoing geopolitical tensions on global crude supplies.

Any renewed military action or further attacks on alternative shipping routes could quickly push prices higher again, while a sustained diplomatic pause could allow supply concerns to ease.

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