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Iranian Operatives Escalate Efforts to Influence 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, Microsoft Reports

Microsoft has revealed that Iranian operatives are intensifying their attempts to influence the upcoming U.S. presidential election by creating fake news outlets targeting both liberal and conservative voters. Additionally, they have made attempts to hack a U.S. presidential campaign, according to research published by Microsoft late Thursday.
The report highlights one of the fake news sites allegedly created by Iranian operatives, which disparaged former President Donald Trump, referring to him as an “opioid-pilled elephant in the MAGA china shop” and a “raving mad litigiosaur.” Another fake outlet, posing as a “trusted source for conservative news” in Savannah, Georgia, focuses on LGBTQ issues and gender reassignment. While these sites have not yet gained significant traction on social media, Microsoft warns that they could gain momentum as the election approaches.
The findings from Microsoft provide some of the most explicit public examples of what U.S. intelligence officials recently described as an ongoing covert social media campaign by Iran. This campaign aims to undermine Trump’s candidacy and increase social discord in the U.S. ahead of the November election.
Clint Watts, general manager of the Microsoft Threat Analysis Center, stated in a blog post that the Iranian operatives have “laid the groundwork for influence campaigns on trending election-related topics and begun to activate these campaigns in an apparent effort to stir up controversy or sway voters – especially in swing states.”
The report also detailed an attempt by a hacking group linked to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to breach the email account of a high-ranking official in a U.S. presidential campaign. While Microsoft declined to specify which campaign was targeted, it confirmed that it had notified the campaign of the hacking attempt.
In addition to Iranian efforts, Microsoft noted ongoing attempts by Russian operatives to “drive headlines with fake scandals” aimed at disrupting the U.S. election. These fabricated stories include claims that the CIA instructed a Ukrainian troll farm to interfere with the election and that the FBI wiretapped Trump’s residence. Chinese online personas were also reported to have used numerous online accounts to amplify outrage around pro-Palestinian protests at U.S. universities earlier this year.
As the 2024 election approaches, U.S. officials are bracing for an array of foreign intelligence operations aimed at influencing or undermining the electoral process. While Russia remains the predominant threat, Iran and China also pose significant risks, according to assessments from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI).
Iran has denied the allegations of election interference and assassination plots against Trump. The U.S. Department of Justice recently announced charges against a Pakistani man with alleged ties to the Iranian government for attempting to carry out political assassinations, further heightening tensions surrounding Iran’s activities.
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Russia Demands SWIFT Reconnection as Condition to Revive Black Sea Initiative
Russia has set forth a key demand for the restoration of the Black Sea Initiative—reconnecting its Agricultural Bank, Rosselkhozbank, to the SWIFT financial system. This request, which falls under the jurisdiction of the European Union (EU), comes amid ongoing negotiations between global powers on the war in Ukraine.
Partial Ceasefire and Black Sea Security Agreement
Following recent talks in Saudi Arabia, the United States announced that Russia and Ukraine had agreed to a partial ceasefire specifically covering energy facilities. While this fell short of the broader ceasefire pushed by former President Donald Trump, the parties also agreed on measures to ensure the safe navigation of commercial vessels in the Black Sea and to prevent their use for military purposes.
However, the Kremlin quickly detailed additional conditions, demanding the lifting of sanctions on food exports, fertilizers, agricultural machinery, and cargo insurance. Most notably, Russia is insisting that Rosselkhozbank and other financial institutions involved in agricultural trade be reinstated on SWIFT, a global messaging system that facilitates secure financial transactions.
EU’s Role and Sanctions History
SWIFT, headquartered in Belgium, falls under EU regulations. In response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the EU removed several Russian banks from SWIFT in 2022, including Sberbank, Credit Bank of Moscow, and Rosselkhozbank. The exclusion was a significant blow to Russia’s financial system, as it restricted the country’s ability to conduct international transactions.
Rosselkhozbank, a state-owned institution, plays a critical role in facilitating payments for Russia’s agricultural exports, a major revenue source through the global sale of wheat, barley, and corn. While the EU has not directly sanctioned Russian agricultural exports, the banking restrictions have complicated payments for these transactions, leading to the collapse of the initial Black Sea Initiative brokered by Turkey and the United Nations.
Diplomatic Tensions and Uncertain Outcomes
The demand to reinstate Rosselkhozbank puts the EU in a difficult position. Granting this request could signal a willingness to make concessions, potentially encouraging Russia to seek further sanctions relief. However, refusing it could provoke tensions with the Trump administration, which is eager to secure a ceasefire.
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has consistently opposed easing sanctions, arguing that they must remain in place until Russia ends its military aggression. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen echoed this stance, stating that sanctions would only be lifted after Russia takes concrete steps toward peace.
As EU sanctions require unanimous renewal every six months, any member state could disrupt the process. Hungary, which has previously expressed opposition to sanctions, could leverage this situation to push for changes when restrictions are up for review on July 31.
Future of SWIFT and Global Financial Pressures
While the EU holds the power to reinstate Rosselkhozbank’s SWIFT access, the U.S. could signal leniency by ensuring that those engaging with the bank avoid legal repercussions. Analysts suggest that Russia’s demand may be a strategic move to test both Washington and Brussels, pressuring the EU to reconsider its stance on financial restrictions.
For now, the EU remains firm in its approach. France has indicated that sanctions should remain unless Russia agrees to a full ceasefire, reparations, and security guarantees for Ukraine. However, with negotiations ongoing and international pressure mounting, the debate over SWIFT and broader sanctions relief is unlikely to fade anytime soon.
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False Claims of Ballot Manipulation Spread During 2025 German Elections
False claims regarding ballot manipulation surged on social media during the 2025 German federal elections, raising concerns over the rapid spread of misinformation and the challenges of combating fake news online. Officials and experts warn that such disinformation campaigns could significantly impact public trust in the electoral process.
Misinformation Surge in Europe
Misinformation is not exclusive to Germany. Globally, disinformation campaigns have intensified, affecting political landscapes in various countries. In the U.S., figures like former President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk have been associated with controversial and misleading claims. Similarly, Europe has been grappling with a persistent wave of fake news that threatens democratic institutions and public discourse.
A prime example of such false narratives emerged during Germany’s recent elections when misleading social media posts alleged that ballots in Leipzig omitted the name of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) candidate. However, local officials swiftly debunked these claims, confirming that all ballots were printed uniformly, making such manipulations impossible.
How to Spot and Combat Misinformation
Experts emphasize the need for increased media literacy and critical thinking to navigate the digital landscape. EuroVerify consulted media specialists who provided key strategies for identifying and avoiding misinformation online.
1. Recognizing Red Flag Phrases
According to Marc Owen Jones, professor of media analytics at Northwestern University in Qatar, certain stock phrases are strong indicators of misleading content. Expressions like “Western media isn’t telling you” or “mainstream media is hiding this” often signal misinformation, particularly during major events such as elections or conflicts.
Robert Rajczyk, professor at the Institute of Journalism and Media Communication at the University of Silesia in Katowice, warns that social media algorithms exacerbate this issue by amplifying controversial content. He notes that platforms curate content based on user preferences, often reinforcing preexisting biases and deepening societal polarization.
2. Identifying AI-Generated Misinformation
The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) in content creation has made it increasingly difficult to distinguish between real and fake information. Jones explains that AI-generated images and deepfakes often exhibit subtle inconsistencies, such as asymmetrical facial features or misplaced accessories like earrings and glasses stems. While not foolproof, closely examining such anomalies can help detect manipulated content.
Jones further highlights that AI-driven misinformation is particularly dangerous because it plays on users’ emotions, making them more likely to share false information without verification. The virality of such content fuels the rapid spread of disinformation.
3. Verifying Sources and Promoting Media Literacy
Fact-checking remains a critical tool in combating misinformation. Ike Picone, professor of media and journalism studies at the Vrije Universiteit Brussel, stresses the importance of understanding how news production works. Recognizing potential biases in traditional media and cross-referencing multiple reputable sources can help individuals make informed judgments about the credibility of news.
Rajczyk echoes this sentiment, emphasizing the need to consume news from diverse mainstream sources to gain a balanced perspective. He warns that a lack of historical and contextual knowledge makes individuals more susceptible to false narratives.
The Importance of Vigilance
As digital misinformation continues to evolve, staying informed and critical of online content is more crucial than ever. By developing media literacy skills, questioning suspicious claims, and relying on credible news sources, internet users can play a proactive role in combating the spread of fake news and preserving the integrity of democratic processes.
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Israel Strikes Lebanon in Retaliation for Rocket Attack Amid Ceasefire Tensions
Israel launched airstrikes on Lebanon on Saturday in response to rockets fired into its territory, marking the heaviest exchange of fire since the ceasefire agreement between the two countries.
The Israeli army reported that several rockets were launched from Lebanon early Saturday morning, targeting northern Israel, including the town of Metula. Israel’s military intercepted the incoming projectiles but warned that it would respond “severely” to the attack.
This is the second time since December that rockets have been fired from Lebanon into Israel, raising concerns over the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, the Lebanese militant group.
Escalating Tensions and Ceasefire Violations
Hezbollah has been involved in cross-border hostilities with Israel since the Hamas-led attack on southern Israel on October 7, 2023, which triggered the ongoing war in Gaza. In response, Hezbollah launched rockets, drones, and missiles into Israel, prompting large-scale Israeli airstrikes.
The conflict escalated into full-scale war in September, with Israel conducting extensive air raids that killed several senior Hezbollah leaders. The fighting resulted in the deaths of over 4,000 people in Lebanon and forced around 60,000 Israelis to evacuate northern border areas.
Under a ceasefire agreement reached in November, Israeli forces were scheduled to withdraw from all Lebanese territory by late January. However, the withdrawal deadline was extended to February 18 following negotiations between Lebanon and Israel. Despite this, Israeli forces have remained stationed in five locations inside Lebanon and have carried out multiple airstrikes, claiming they were targeting Hezbollah positions.
Lebanon has since appealed to the United Nations to pressure Israel to complete its withdrawal.
Israeli and Lebanese Responses
Following Saturday’s attack, the Israeli Prime Minister’s office confirmed that the military had been instructed to strike “dozens of targets” in Lebanon. “Israel will not allow any harm to its citizens and sovereignty,” the statement read.
The Lebanese government has condemned the escalation, with Prime Minister Nawaf Salam instructing the military to take necessary measures to secure the southern border. However, he emphasized that Lebanon does not seek a return to full-scale war.
Hezbollah has not yet issued a statement in response to the latest Israeli strikes.
Meanwhile, the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) expressed alarm over the renewed violence, warning that further escalation could have serious consequences for regional stability. UNIFIL called on all parties to exercise restraint and uphold the progress made under the ceasefire agreement.
As tensions continue to rise, the situation remains highly volatile, with fears that the recent exchange of fire could derail the fragile truce between the two sides.
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