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Global Markets Brace for Key Economic Data and Earnings Reports

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This week, global markets will focus on critical economic data releases and major corporate earnings, with results expected to shape investor sentiment across regions. In the eurozone, key inflation and GDP data are set for release, guiding expectations on the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy. In the U.S., the non-farm payroll report will be closely watched, along with third-quarter GDP figures, offering insight into the world’s largest economy’s growth and labor market conditions. Major U.S. tech companies, including Alphabet, Meta, Apple, and Amazon, will also report earnings, revealing trends in the artificial intelligence sector.

Eurozone Data: Inflation and GDP

The eurozone’s economic calendar will be busy this week, with preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) and GDP data due for major economies including Germany, Spain, France, and Italy. Inflation in the region fell to 1.7% year-on-year in September, below the ECB’s target of 2%, largely due to a drop in energy prices. However, consensus estimates expect the eurozone CPI to slightly increase to 1.9% in October, while core inflation may ease to 2.6%.

Germany, facing economic challenges, saw its economy shrink by 0.1% in the second quarter, marking continued struggles for its manufacturing sector. While France, Italy, and Spain posted positive growth rates in prior quarters, Germany’s economic contraction is expected to persist, with an anticipated 0.1% decline in GDP for the third quarter. The Eurozone’s composite inflation and GDP data will provide essential insights for the ECB’s future rate decisions.

UK Budget Amid Economic Challenges

In the UK, attention will turn to the government’s annual budget announcement. As the country grapples with high deficits and inflationary pressures, measures addressing taxation, government spending, and welfare are anticipated to be central themes. The budget’s outcome will shape investor expectations on the government’s approach to tackling the slowing economy and inflation.

U.S. Focus: Labor Market and GDP Data

The U.S. non-farm payroll report for October is expected to be a crucial indicator for global markets. Following a strong September report with 254,000 jobs added, consensus forecasts suggest a softer increase of around 110,000 jobs in October, with the unemployment rate remaining steady at 4.1%. A weaker labor market could influence the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions, potentially accelerating its easing cycle and boosting stock markets. Additionally, the U.S. third-quarter GDP report, expected to reflect 3% growth, could reinforce optimism about a “soft landing” for the economy, potentially strengthening the dollar and market performance.

Earnings from Tech Giants

Key U.S. tech firms, including Alphabet, Meta, Apple, and Amazon, are slated to release quarterly earnings this week. These results will offer a window into trends within the artificial intelligence sector and other technology-driven industries, impacting market sentiment.

Asia-Pacific Updates: Japan, China, and Australia

In the Asia-Pacific, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will announce its interest rate decision. Following rate hikes in March and July to support the yen, the BOJ is expected to hold rates steady, with markets anticipating another hike potentially in December or early 2024. In China, manufacturing and services PMI data will reflect the health of business activity amid recent contractions, while Australia’s third-quarter inflation data will be critical for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) rate policy. With September’s CPI showing a 2.7% increase, the RBA may initiate an easing cycle if annual inflation cools to the expected 2.3%.

These upcoming releases across multiple regions are set to play a decisive role in shaping market dynamics, with investors keenly watching for signs of economic resilience or challenges in global markets.

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World’s Largest EV Manufacturer Recalls Over 375,000 Vehicles for Power Steering Issue

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The world’s largest electric vehicle manufacturer is recalling more than 375,000 vehicles due to a power steering issue that could impact driver control, according to the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).

The recall affects certain 2023 Model 3 and Model Y vehicles, with the NHTSA reporting that the printed circuit board responsible for electronic power steering assist may become overstressed. This could result in a loss of power steering assistance when the vehicle stops and then accelerates again.

A loss of power steering assistance requires drivers to exert greater effort to steer the vehicle, particularly at low speeds, increasing the risk of accidents.

The EV manufacturer has not disclosed the number of incidents linked to the issue but stated that it is working to address the problem promptly. Owners of affected vehicles will be notified and offered free repairs, including replacement of the faulty circuit board if necessary.

The NHTSA advises vehicle owners to monitor their dashboard warning lights and seek service immediately if they notice any changes in steering performance. The agency is continuing to monitor the situation to ensure compliance and safety.

This recall comes as the electric vehicle industry faces heightened scrutiny over software and hardware reliability. Despite the setback, industry analysts believe the company’s proactive recall could help maintain customer trust and highlight its commitment to safety and product quality.

 

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Alibaba Reports Fastest Revenue Growth in Over a Year Amid AI Boom

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Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding has reported its fastest revenue growth in more than a year, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence and cloud computing. The company’s revenue for the quarter ending in December rose 8% to 280.2 billion yuan (€36.65 billion) compared to the previous year, surpassing analysts’ expectations. Net income surged to 48.9 billion yuan (€6.41 billion), boosting its New York-traded stock by over 12% following the earnings announcement.

Alibaba CEO Eddie Wu highlighted the company’s commitment to AI, stating during an earnings call that Alibaba plans to “aggressively invest” in AI and cloud infrastructure over the next three years, with planned spending expected to exceed its total investments of the past decade. Wu emphasized that artificial general intelligence (AGI), which aims to match or surpass human intelligence, is Alibaba’s primary focus, describing the opportunity as a “once-in-several-decades” transformation for the industry.

The company has already integrated AI into its cloud products, resulting in a 13% revenue growth for its cloud division—the fastest pace in two years. Alibaba’s international commerce unit, including platforms like AliExpress and Lazada, saw a 32% increase in revenue, driven by robust cross-border business performance.

Alibaba’s AI strategy comes amid growing competition between the U.S. and China in the AI sector. In January, Alibaba introduced its latest Qwen AI models, which performed well in industry benchmark tests, positioning the company among China’s leading AI innovators. Additionally, Alibaba is collaborating with Apple to integrate its AI technology into Chinese iPhones.

The company’s resurgence follows a challenging period marked by regulatory crackdowns in China’s technology sector. In 2020, authorities halted the IPO of Alibaba’s financial affiliate, Ant Group, and imposed a record $2.8 billion (€2.67 billion) fine for anti-monopoly violations. However, recent signs suggest a more supportive stance from Beijing. Chinese President Xi Jinping recently met with prominent entrepreneurs, including Alibaba cofounder Jack Ma, signaling renewed government backing for the tech industry.

Amid these developments, Alibaba’s stock has surged by over 60% this year, with U.S.-listed shares rising 8.5% to $136.58 (€130.41) during morning trading. With its focus on AI and cloud computing, Alibaba is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced technology in China and beyond.

 

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Airbus Reports Strong Orders and Steady Growth Despite Supply Chain Challenges

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European aircraft manufacturer Airbus has reported solid financial results for 2024, with strong order intake and increased deliveries, further extending its lead over struggling competitor Boeing.

In its annual earnings update on Thursday, Airbus revealed that revenues rose to €69.23 billion, up from €65.45 billion in the previous year. However, adjusted earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) dropped 8% to €5.35 billion, compared to €5.84 billion in 2023. The decline was attributed to restructuring costs in the company’s space division.

Aviation and tourism expert Anita Mendiratta praised Airbus’ performance, stating that the results highlight the company’s focus on fundamentals. “The strong order intake across all divisions signifies sustained market confidence—critical in 2024, the first full year since the pandemic when trade not only recovered but surged,” she said.

Aircraft Deliveries and Orders

Airbus delivered 766 commercial aircraft in 2024, an increase from 735 in 2023, thanks to a strong year-end push. Gross commercial aircraft orders reached 878, with net orders totaling 826 after cancellations.

Looking ahead, Airbus has set a delivery target of 820 commercial aircraft for 2025—a figure lower than its record 863 deliveries in 2019. While some analysts view this target as conservative, Matt Dorset, equity analyst at Quilter Cheviot, noted that it reflects ongoing supply chain issues. “The company will want to avoid another cut to guidance, as occurred in 2024,” Dorset explained.

Airbus lowered its delivery targets in June 2023 due to supply chain disruptions involving engines, aerostructures, and cabin equipment, as well as additional costs in its space systems division. The company continues to face challenges, particularly with Spirit AeroSystems, which is affecting the production of the A350 and A220 models.

Financial Outlook and Dividends

For 2025, Airbus forecasts adjusted EBIT of approximately €7 billion and free cash flow before customer financing of around €4.5 billion. These projections do not account for potential tariffs that could be imposed by a future Donald Trump administration in the United States.

Despite ongoing challenges, Airbus announced an increased dividend of €2 per share for 2024, up from €1.80 the previous year. Additionally, the company proposed a special dividend of €1 per share, with a payment date set for April 24, 2025.

Airbus Extends Lead Over Boeing

Airbus’ stable financial performance contrasts sharply with the difficulties faced by Boeing, which reported a loss of $11.8 billion (€11.3 billion) in 2024—its worst result since 2020. Boeing’s setbacks include a series of safety incidents, strikes, and challenges within its defense programs, further solidifying Airbus’ position as the world’s leading aircraft manufacturer.

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