Business
Global Central Banks Poised for Key Interest Rate Decisions Amid Market Volatility
Major central banks are set to make crucial interest rate decisions this week, providing key guidance for global financial markets. Investors will closely watch the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook, as Wall Street struggles to recover after falling into correction territory.
Global Stock Markets Under Pressure
Stock indices worldwide posted losses last week, driven by escalating trade tensions and risk-off sentiment. While markets saw a slight rebound on Friday, investor focus has now shifted to monetary policy decisions from the Fed, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), the Bank of England (BOE), the Swiss National Bank (SNB), and the People’s Bank of China (PBOC).
Amid economic uncertainty, expectations are rising that major central banks could adopt a more dovish stance. The introduction of new US tariffs under the Trump administration has heightened concerns over global economic stability, increasing the likelihood of more accommodative monetary policies to support market recovery.
Fed Expected to Hold Rates Steady
The Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision is the most anticipated event for financial markets. The Fed has already cut rates by a full percentage point, bringing them to a range of 4.25%–4.5% in 2024. In January, it paused its easing cycle due to persistent inflation and a resilient labor market.
Market expectations suggest that the Fed will maintain rates at current levels until at least June, moving up from the previously anticipated September timeline. Concerns over inflation and weak consumer sentiment—exacerbated by recent US trade policies—are key factors influencing the decision. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February came in lower than expected, reinforcing the possibility of an earlier rate cut.
While the Fed is likely to acknowledge economic risks, it may emphasize the need for sustained evidence of cooling inflation before committing to rate reductions. A dovish stance, often referred to as a “Fed put,” could lead to a strong rebound in US stock markets, weaken the US dollar, and boost major currencies like the euro.
BOE to Keep Rates Unchanged
The Bank of England is expected to maintain its interest rate at 4.5% this week, following a surge in inflation in January. However, swap market pricing suggests potential rate cuts in May and August, accelerating previous forecasts that projected only one reduction this year.
Additionally, increasing defense spending in Europe and Germany’s fiscal reforms could influence the European Central Bank (ECB) to continue loosening its monetary policy, prompting the BOE to follow suit.
The British pound has strengthened against the US dollar, mirroring the euro’s rally. However, analysts warn of potential overvaluation, raising the risk of a near-term correction.
BOJ to Pause Rate Hikes
The Bank of Japan is also expected to hold its policy rate at 0.5% this week, pausing a tightening cycle that began in March 2024. Despite raising rates three times in the past year, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda may express concerns over the impact of higher borrowing costs amid global trade uncertainties.
The Japanese yen has surged this year, benefiting from its safe-haven status and BOJ’s policy actions. While Japan’s core CPI stood at 3.2% in January, stubborn inflation is unlikely to alter expectations that the BOJ will slow its rate hikes in response to ongoing trade tensions.
SNB to Cut Rates Again
The Swiss National Bank is widely expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.25%, marking its fifth consecutive rate cut since March 2024. The SNB was the first major central bank to initiate an easing cycle, citing cooling inflation and slowing economic growth. However, this could be the final cut in the current cycle, as the bank is unlikely to return to negative interest rates.
PBOC to Maintain Lending Rates
The People’s Bank of China is expected to keep its key lending rates unchanged at 3.1% (1-year loan prime rate) and 3.6% (5-year loan prime rate). However, amid rising trade tensions with the US, Beijing is anticipated to roll out further stimulus measures to bolster economic growth.
During its annual policy meeting, the Chinese government set its GDP growth target at 5% and increased its deficit level to a three-decade high of 4%. Key economic indicators—including industrial production, retail sales, and fixed asset investment—are set to be released this week, offering further insight into the trajectory of China’s economy.
Outlook: Central Banks to Guide Market Sentiment
As central banks prepare to announce their decisions, investors will closely analyze policy statements for indications of future rate moves. A dovish shift from the Fed or other central banks could provide much-needed relief to financial markets, while any hawkish signals may fuel further volatility. With economic uncertainty looming, global markets remain on edge as they await central bank guidance.
Business
UK and US Poised to Announce New Trade Deal Amid Tariff Tensions

The United Kingdom and the United States are expected to announce a new trade agreement later today, following comments from U.S. President Donald Trump that a deal with a “highly respected” country was imminent. Downing Street confirmed Thursday morning that a formal statement would be issued, highlighting deepening economic ties between the two transatlantic allies.
According to a spokesperson for Prime Minister Keir Starmer, the pending agreement reflects Britain’s commitment to acting in the national interest. “The prime minister will always act in Britain’s national interest – for workers, for business, for families,” the spokesperson said. “The United States is an indispensable ally for both our economic and national security. Talks on a deal between our countries have been continuing at pace and the prime minister will update later today.”
The anticipated deal could mark the first formal trade agreement reached by the U.S. since “Liberation Day” in April, when President Trump introduced a new wave of tariffs targeting foreign imports. The UK emerged relatively unscathed from those tariffs, with its exports facing a 10% baseline duty—far less than the 20% rate imposed on EU goods or the 30%-plus levies on imports from several Asian countries.
However, key British exports such as cars and steel are still subject to a 25% tariff under current U.S. rules. Trade experts anticipate that the forthcoming agreement will focus on easing restrictions in these sectors, though it is unlikely to extend to a full-scale free trade arrangement at this stage.
British negotiators have been in Washington this week in a final push to secure more favorable terms, amid growing concern over potential future levies. President Trump’s recent proposal to tax foreign films has also raised alarms in the UK, where the film industry is a major source of export revenue.
The UK is also broadening its global trade strategy. On Tuesday, Prime Minister Starmer announced a long-awaited trade deal with India, easing the movement of professionals and reducing tariffs on British gin and whisky. Meanwhile, preparations are underway for a UK-EU summit on May 19, where discussions are expected to include a post-Brexit youth mobility agreement.
The U.S., for its part, is exploring deals with several nations including Japan, Israel, and India, though negotiations with China remain strained. President Trump has signaled that he will not lower tariffs on Chinese imports—currently at 145%—without significant concessions from Beijing.
As transatlantic talks reach their conclusion, today’s announcement could mark a significant milestone in reshaping post-Brexit trade relations between London and Washington.
Business
Rheinmetall Reports Soaring Q1 Sales Amid Rising European Defence Demand

Rheinmetall, Germany’s largest ammunition and arms manufacturer, reported a sharp rise in sales for the first quarter of 2025, as European defence spending continues to surge in response to shifting geopolitical dynamics. The company posted a 46% year-on-year increase in revenue, reaching €2.3 billion, driven by heightened demand for military systems and weapons.
The standout performance came from Rheinmetall’s defence segment, which grew by 73% to €1.8 billion in sales, accounting for the majority of the company’s revenue. Foreign markets contributed 70% of total sales, underlining the global reach of the firm’s growing defence footprint. The spike in demand follows a broader trend across Europe, where defence budgets are expanding in response to heightened security concerns, particularly following the recent suspension of U.S. military aid to Ukraine.
Shares in Rheinmetall have surged by 170% since the start of the year, with an additional 1.5% gain following the earnings announcement. Germany’s landmark debt reform, which prioritizes defence and infrastructure spending, has also played a role in boosting investor confidence across the defence sector.
Looking ahead, Rheinmetall maintained its forecast for 2025, projecting annual sales growth of 25% to 30%. The company expects an operating margin of 15.5%, up from 15.2% in 2024, and hinted at the possibility of further revisions to guidance as demand conditions continue to improve.
Chairman of the Executive Board Armin Papperger described the current period as a turning point for the company and for European defence at large. “Rheinmetall is needed—customers are buying entire factories from us today,” he said. “Europe must prepare itself for a new era… Rheinmetall stands firmly by its responsibility in this epochal break.”
Papperger emphasized the company’s global expansion efforts, noting projects in the U.S., UK, Italy, and Ukraine, as well as new plant constructions and strategic acquisitions. “We are experiencing growth like never before,” he added.
Rheinmetall’s first-quarter profit rose by 70%, with earnings per share at €1.92. Operating income climbed 49% to €199 million, while defence profits nearly doubled to €206 million. A key performance indicator—referred to as “Rheinmetall Nomination,” which includes incoming orders and framework agreements—surged 181% year-on-year to €11 billion, with a significant share originating from Germany’s special military fund.
The company’s order backlog hit a record €63 billion by the end of the quarter, driven by large-scale contracts in various defence categories. Vehicle systems revenue jumped 93% to €952 million, and weapons and ammunition sales reached an all-time high of €599 million. Electronic solutions saw nominations soar to €10 billion, while the power systems segment fell 6.7% amid automotive sector headwinds.
Business
Novo Nordisk Shares Rise Despite 2025 Outlook Downgrade Amid Weight-Loss Drug Market Pressures

Shares in Novo Nordisk surged on Wednesday after the Danish pharmaceutical giant posted stronger-than-expected first-quarter earnings, even as it lowered its growth outlook for 2025 due to mounting competition in the weight-loss drug market.
The company, best known for its diabetes and obesity treatments, reported a 20% year-on-year rise in net profit to 38.8 billion Danish kroner (€5.2 billion), with net sales up 18% to 78.1 billion kroner (€10.5 billion). Both figures exceeded analyst expectations, driven by robust demand for obesity and diabetes medications.
Despite the upbeat results, Novo Nordisk cut its full-year guidance. The firm now expects 2025 sales growth of 13–21%, down from its earlier projection, and operating profit growth between 16–24% at constant exchange rates—both lowered by several percentage points.
“We have reduced our full-year outlook due to lower-than-planned branded GLP-1 penetration, which is impacted by the rapid expansion of compounding in the US,” CEO Lars Fruergaard Jørgensen said in a statement. “We are actively focused on preventing unlawful and unsafe compounding and on efforts to expand patient access to our GLP-1 treatments.”
Still, shares rose 4.4% at the opening of European trading, though the stock remains down 26% since the start of the year. In contrast, main U.S. competitor Eli Lilly has seen a more stable stock performance in 2025.
A key pressure point for Novo Nordisk is the U.S. market, where demand for GLP-1-based weight-loss treatments like Wegovy has outpaced supply. Under FDA policy, compounding pharmacies were permitted to produce alternative versions of drugs in short supply, allowing smaller rivals to offer cheaper options. Although the FDA declared shortages over earlier this year, it granted a grace period until May 22 for compounded versions to remain in circulation.
In response, Novo Nordisk slashed Wegovy’s price by more than half on its online platform, NovoCare, mirroring similar price cuts by Eli Lilly.
In its outlook, Novo Nordisk highlighted the continued global rollout of Wegovy, noting there are an estimated one billion people living with obesity worldwide, yet only a fraction are receiving treatment. CFO Karsten Munk Knudsen said he expects Wegovy sales to pick up further in the third quarter.
Meanwhile, the company announced the completion of its REDEFINE 2 trial for its next-generation drug, CagriSema, which showed a 15.7% weight reduction. While the results fell short of the 25% reduction some had hoped for, Novo Nordisk aims to file for regulatory approval early next year.
The company also said it has filed for U.S. approval of a new oral formulation of semaglutide, which could become the first oral GLP-1 drug for obesity treatment.
Despite market headwinds, Novo Nordisk remains optimistic about future growth in a highly competitive but fast-expanding global obesity market.
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