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Germany Signals Openness to Deploy Troops in Ukraine if Peace Deal Emerges

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German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock has indicated her government’s willingness to support initiatives for lasting peace in Ukraine, including the potential deployment of German soldiers in the event of a peace agreement. Speaking on the sidelines of a NATO meeting in Brussels on Wednesday, Baerbock emphasized that Germany would back “everything that serves peace in the future.”

The remarks come amid renewed debate over Europe’s role in Ukraine following reports that thousands of North Korean soldiers may have been sent to support Russian forces. These developments have raised questions about whether European troops might eventually be deployed to Ukraine under a peace arrangement.

EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas added to the discussion, stating over the weekend that no options should be ruled out, though any deployment would hinge on Ukraine’s approval.

Ongoing Conflict and Diverging Peace Visions

Despite growing dialogue about potential peace arrangements, the conflict remains far from resolution as it nears its third anniversary. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has advocated for NATO membership as a pathway to ending the “hot stage of the war,” urging that membership should extend to all territory under Kyiv’s control.

However, this proposal clashes with Russian President Vladimir Putin’s demands. Putin insists that any peace deal must acknowledge Russia’s territorial gains and include security guarantees, such as Ukraine abandoning aspirations to join NATO.

Zelenskyy hinted at a possible diplomatic solution earlier this week, telling Japan’s Kyodo News that Ukraine’s military lacks the capacity to fully reclaim all Russian-occupied territories.

Potential Shift in German Policy

To date, Germany has refrained from committing troops to Ukraine, focusing instead on financial and military support. During a surprise visit to Kyiv on Monday, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced an additional €650 million in military aid, underscoring Berlin’s commitment to supporting Ukraine.

However, Germany’s stance could evolve after snap federal elections scheduled for February 23. The centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU), led by Friedrich Merz, currently leads in the polls and has criticized Scholz’s hesitance to provide Ukraine with Taurus missiles. Merz has advocated a more assertive approach, suggesting that allowing Ukraine access to such weapons could increase pressure on Russia.

As NATO allies prepare for the inauguration of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump in January, uncertainty looms over how his administration might influence the war. Trump has pledged to secure peace but has yet to outline a detailed plan. Reports suggest his team may propose deploying European troops to establish a buffer zone as part of a potential peace agreement.

The evolving geopolitical dynamics and domestic political shifts could significantly shape Germany’s role in Ukraine in the months ahead.

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Myanmar Struck by Aftershocks as Earthquake Death Toll Rises

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Myanmar continues to be rocked by aftershocks following the devastating 7.7-magnitude earthquake that struck on Friday, killing at least 1,644 people. The latest tremor, a 5.1-magnitude quake, hit near Mandalay on Sunday morning as rescue operations remained underway in the hardest-hit areas.

According to Myanmar’s ruling military junta, the earthquake has also left 2,376 people injured and 3,408 missing. While there were no immediate reports of further damage from Sunday’s aftershock, fears of continued tremors have kept thousands of people sleeping outdoors in Mandalay, Myanmar’s second-largest city.

Rescue Efforts Hindered by Damage and Conflict

Rescue operations remain challenging due to widespread destruction, damaged roads, and unreliable communication networks. The impact of the ongoing civil war has further complicated efforts, leaving civilians and local volunteers to handle much of the initial search and recovery work. Many affected areas remain inaccessible, and people have been digging through rubble by hand in scorching 41-degree Celsius heat.

“It’s mainly been local volunteers, local people who are just trying to find their loved ones,” said Cara Bragg, the Yangon-based manager of Catholic Relief Services in Myanmar. She added that while some countries are now sending search and rescue teams to Mandalay, hospitals are overwhelmed with the injured, and medical supplies are running low. Many survivors are also struggling to find food and clean water.

Mandalay, home to 1.5 million people, saw many buildings destroyed, including infrastructure such as bridges and the city’s airport. The disaster has left many residents homeless or too afraid to return to their homes due to the risk of further aftershocks.

Regional Impact and International Response

The earthquake’s effects were also felt in neighboring countries. In Thailand, at least 17 people were reported dead, with 83 still missing. The tremors even caused a tower to collapse in Bangkok. China also experienced the quake’s impact, though reports of casualties remain unclear.

Myanmar’s Shadow National Unity Government (NUG), which leads the resistance against the military junta, announced a partial ceasefire on Saturday to allow for rescue operations. The NUG’s armed wing, the People’s Defence Force (PDF), will suspend offensive military operations in the earthquake-affected areas starting Sunday.

While some international aid is beginning to reach Mandalay, the scale of the disaster has left many survivors in dire conditions. The coming days will be critical for search and rescue efforts, as well as for providing essential supplies to those left homeless by the quake.

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Federal Judge Blocks Trump Administration’s Effort to Dismantle Voice of America

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A federal judge has temporarily halted the Trump administration’s attempt to dismantle Voice of America (VOA), calling the move a “classic case of arbitrary and capricious decision-making.” The decision prevents the US Agency for Global Media (USAGM), which oversees VOA, from firing more than 1,200 employees or shutting down its affiliated services.

Judge Blocks Mass Firings and Funding Cuts

Judge James Paul Oetken issued a restraining order blocking the USAGM from taking further action to terminate, furlough, or place employees on leave. The order also prevents the agency from cutting grant funding to other international broadcasters, including Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Radio Free Asia, and Radio Free Afghanistan.

The decision came after a coalition of VOA journalists, labor unions, and the nonprofit advocacy group Reporters Without Borders filed a lawsuit against the Trump administration. The plaintiffs argued that the administration’s efforts violated a legal precedent protecting VOA journalists from political interference.

Following the ruling, USAGM announced it was restoring funding to Radio Free Europe after another court in Washington, D.C., ordered it to do so.

White House Justifies Defunding VOA

The Trump administration has been critical of VOA, claiming it harbors a “leftist bias” and fails to project “pro-American” values. The White House labeled the broadcaster “The Voice of Radical America” and justified its defunding as an effort to prevent taxpayers from supporting what it called “radical propaganda.”

Citing coverage it deemed too favorable to former President Joe Biden, as well as reports on topics like white privilege, racial profiling, and transgender asylum seekers, the administration sought to slash funding for USAGM and six other federal agencies.

VOA, founded in 1942, is mandated by Congress to function as a non-partisan news organization, providing independent journalism to global audiences. Critics argue that the Trump administration’s actions threatened press freedom and democracy.

Judge Criticizes Administration’s “Sledgehammer” Approach

During a hearing in Manhattan, Judge Oetken condemned the administration for dismantling a long-established agency with “no consideration of the effects.” He also singled out USAGM special adviser Kari Lake for making sweeping changes “seemingly overnight” without a clear strategy.

“This is a decisive victory for press freedom and the First Amendment,” said Andrew G. Celli Jr., the plaintiffs’ attorney. He described the ruling as a strong rebuke to the Trump administration’s disregard for democratic principles.

The plaintiffs also warned that VOA’s absence from the airwaves could leave a vacuum that might be filled by propaganda from authoritarian regimes.

Congressional Funding and Future Implications

Congress has allocated nearly $860 million (€794 million) for USAGM in the current fiscal year, signaling bipartisan support for the agency’s mission. However, the future of VOA and its affiliated networks remains uncertain as legal battles continue.

With this court ruling, the Trump administration’s push to defund VOA faces a significant legal hurdle, but the broader debate over the role of government-funded international broadcasting is far from over.

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Russia Demands SWIFT Reconnection as Condition to Revive Black Sea Initiative

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Russia has set forth a key demand for the restoration of the Black Sea Initiative—reconnecting its Agricultural Bank, Rosselkhozbank, to the SWIFT financial system. This request, which falls under the jurisdiction of the European Union (EU), comes amid ongoing negotiations between global powers on the war in Ukraine.

Partial Ceasefire and Black Sea Security Agreement

Following recent talks in Saudi Arabia, the United States announced that Russia and Ukraine had agreed to a partial ceasefire specifically covering energy facilities. While this fell short of the broader ceasefire pushed by former President Donald Trump, the parties also agreed on measures to ensure the safe navigation of commercial vessels in the Black Sea and to prevent their use for military purposes.

However, the Kremlin quickly detailed additional conditions, demanding the lifting of sanctions on food exports, fertilizers, agricultural machinery, and cargo insurance. Most notably, Russia is insisting that Rosselkhozbank and other financial institutions involved in agricultural trade be reinstated on SWIFT, a global messaging system that facilitates secure financial transactions.

EU’s Role and Sanctions History

SWIFT, headquartered in Belgium, falls under EU regulations. In response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the EU removed several Russian banks from SWIFT in 2022, including Sberbank, Credit Bank of Moscow, and Rosselkhozbank. The exclusion was a significant blow to Russia’s financial system, as it restricted the country’s ability to conduct international transactions.

Rosselkhozbank, a state-owned institution, plays a critical role in facilitating payments for Russia’s agricultural exports, a major revenue source through the global sale of wheat, barley, and corn. While the EU has not directly sanctioned Russian agricultural exports, the banking restrictions have complicated payments for these transactions, leading to the collapse of the initial Black Sea Initiative brokered by Turkey and the United Nations.

Diplomatic Tensions and Uncertain Outcomes

The demand to reinstate Rosselkhozbank puts the EU in a difficult position. Granting this request could signal a willingness to make concessions, potentially encouraging Russia to seek further sanctions relief. However, refusing it could provoke tensions with the Trump administration, which is eager to secure a ceasefire.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has consistently opposed easing sanctions, arguing that they must remain in place until Russia ends its military aggression. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen echoed this stance, stating that sanctions would only be lifted after Russia takes concrete steps toward peace.

As EU sanctions require unanimous renewal every six months, any member state could disrupt the process. Hungary, which has previously expressed opposition to sanctions, could leverage this situation to push for changes when restrictions are up for review on July 31.

Future of SWIFT and Global Financial Pressures

While the EU holds the power to reinstate Rosselkhozbank’s SWIFT access, the U.S. could signal leniency by ensuring that those engaging with the bank avoid legal repercussions. Analysts suggest that Russia’s demand may be a strategic move to test both Washington and Brussels, pressuring the EU to reconsider its stance on financial restrictions.

For now, the EU remains firm in its approach. France has indicated that sanctions should remain unless Russia agrees to a full ceasefire, reparations, and security guarantees for Ukraine. However, with negotiations ongoing and international pressure mounting, the debate over SWIFT and broader sanctions relief is unlikely to fade anytime soon.

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