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France Reports Sharp Drop in Inflation While Other EU Economies See Increases

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France has recorded its lowest inflation rate in four years, setting it apart from other major European economies, where inflation remains on the rise. A drop in electricity prices played a key role in bringing the country’s consumer price index (CPI) down to 0.8% in February, compared to 1.7% in January, according to a flash estimate by French statistics office Insee.

The EU harmonized index, which provides a standardized measure of inflation across member states, stood at 0.9% for February. Unlike other European nations, France’s monthly inflation rate remained unchanged, reinforcing expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) may cut interest rates in its next policy meeting.

Energy Prices Drive Decline

Economic experts attribute the sharp slowdown in inflation to an average 15% reduction in electricity prices that took effect on February 1, benefiting over 24 million consumers. As a result, energy inflation dropped to -5.7% year-over-year.

“After two years of consecutive increases, electricity prices have finally fallen, significantly lowering inflation,” said Sylvain Bersinger, chief economist at Paris-based economic consultancy Asterès. However, he cautioned that inflation may rise slightly in the spring of 2025, though it is expected to remain below 2%.

Other sectors showed mixed trends:

  • Food prices increased slightly, while service price growth slowed.
  • Manufactured goods and tobacco prices also saw a minor slowdown.

Bersinger noted that inflationary pressures in the production chain could contribute to a moderate uptick in inflation later in the year. However, wage growth has slowed, reducing the likelihood of a sharp price surge. While wages rose by more than 5% year-over-year in late 2022, they increased by just 2.1% in late 2024.

Contrasting Inflation Trends Across Europe

While France’s inflation rate dropped, other leading European economies experienced an uptick in prices:

  • Spain’s inflation climbed to 2.9% in February.
  • Germany’s inflation held steady at 2.8%, unchanged for three months.
  • Italy’s inflation hit 1.7%, its highest level since September 2023.
  • Ireland saw a rise in inflation to 1.3%, up from 1.7% in January.

Economic Growth Slows in France

While inflation cooled, France’s economy also weakened, shrinking by 0.1% in Q4 2024, confirming Insee’s earlier estimates. This contraction follows a 0.4% expansion in the previous quarter, which was partly driven by the Paris Olympic and Paralympic Games.

Key factors behind the slowdown include:

  • Household consumption growth slowed to 0.3% in Q4 and fell by 0.5% in January 2025.
  • Fixed investment declined, particularly in the construction sector.
  • Exports and imports rose by 0.4%, providing some economic support.

For the full year of 2024, French GDP grew by 1.1%, matching its 2023 growth rate. However, the 0.6% year-over-year expansion in Q4 2024 marked the slowest annual growth since the pandemic-induced contraction in 2020.

As France heads into 2025, low inflation and sluggish economic growth raise questions about the country’s monetary and fiscal policy direction, particularly as the ECB considers further interest rate cuts.

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Apple Beats Earnings Expectations, but Shares Fall Amid China Slump and Tariff Worries

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Apple Inc. posted better-than-expected earnings for its fiscal second quarter, but shares fell nearly 4% in after-hours trading on Thursday, as mounting concerns over declining sales in China and escalating tariff uncertainty dampened investor enthusiasm.

The tech giant reported a 5% year-on-year increase in revenue to $95.4 billion for the March quarter, surpassing analysts’ forecasts of $94.6 billion. Earnings per share also came in stronger than anticipated at $1.65, above the projected $1.62. Apple highlighted double-digit growth in its Services division and modest gains in iPhone sales, driven by demand for the newly released, budget-friendly iPhone 16e.

Despite the positive headline figures, investors focused on Apple’s weaker performance in Greater China, where revenue fell by 2.3% year-on-year to $16 billion. The dip follows an 11% decline in the previous quarter and reflects intensifying competition from domestic smartphone makers like Xiaomi and Vivo, as well as lagging innovation in artificial intelligence features compared to rivals.

In contrast, U.S. sales rose 8% over the same period. However, Apple CEO Tim Cook noted there was no evidence of consumers speeding up purchases in anticipation of new tariffs, suggesting that broader economic uncertainty continues to shape consumer behavior.

Tariff-related costs remain a looming challenge. Apple expects a $900 million increase in expenses during the June quarter if no new levies are introduced. While President Donald Trump recently exempted electronics from a fresh wave of China tariffs, existing measures continue to impact key components. Cook described the outlook for the second half of the year as “very difficult” to predict.

In response to ongoing trade tensions, Apple is reportedly accelerating efforts to shift iPhone production for the U.S. market to India, potentially starting in 2026. Cook confirmed that while some assembly has moved, most global production remains in China.

Apple’s Services segment, which includes Apple TV+, iCloud, and the App Store, saw revenue grow 12% to $26.7 billion. Though still robust, this marked a slight slowdown from 14% growth last quarter. The division is under scrutiny in the EU and U.S. over regulatory concerns related to digital marketplaces and payment systems.

Elsewhere, sales of Mac and iPad devices rose 7% and 15% respectively, boosted by the launch of new M3-powered models. However, the Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment declined 5%, a dip attributed to last year’s Vision Pro launch creating a tough year-on-year comparison.

Despite the uncertainty, Apple increased its quarterly dividend by 4% to $0.26 per share and authorized a new $100 billion stock buyback program. Still, shares have fallen 16% year-to-date, underscoring investor caution as the company navigates a complex geopolitical and regulatory landscape.

Apple forecast low-to-mid single-digit revenue growth for the current quarter, falling short of analysts’ expectations for a 5% rise.

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Amazon Posts Strong Q1 Results, Beats Estimates Despite Trade Uncertainty

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Amazon posted robust first-quarter earnings and revenue that exceeded Wall Street expectations, highlighting the tech giant’s continued dominance in e-commerce and cloud computing despite mounting global economic and trade headwinds.

The company reported a net income of $17.13 billion, or $1.59 per share, for the three months ending March 31, up significantly from $10.43 billion, or 98 cents per share, during the same period last year. Revenue rose 9% year-over-year to $155.7 billion, topping analysts’ forecasts of around $154 billion.

Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company’s highly profitable cloud arm, was a major driver of growth, with sales climbing 17% to $29.3 billion. AWS remains central to Amazon’s broader strategy, especially as the company ramps up investment in generative artificial intelligence and custom-built data center infrastructure.

CEO Andy Jassy emphasized the company’s resilience amid economic uncertainty, telling analysts that Amazon’s value proposition — low prices, wide product selection, and reliable delivery — makes it a preferred choice during turbulent times. “When there are uncertain environments, customers tend to choose the provider they trust most,” Jassy said. “We have emerged from these eras with more market share and are better positioned for the future.”

Jassy also addressed the impact of the Biden administration’s new tariffs on Chinese imports — including a 145% duty rate — noting that many third-party sellers on Amazon had accelerated shipments ahead of the changes. While this helped avoid immediate price hikes, Jassy warned that long-term effects are still uncertain. He pledged the company would do all it could to maintain affordability for customers.

Amazon could benefit from the policy shift as it raises costs for rival platforms like Shein and Temu, which have taken advantage of previous trade exemptions. However, Amazon’s own cross-border operations may face higher expenses, particularly through its newly launched storefront “Amazon Haul,” which ships low-cost goods directly from China.

Beyond e-commerce, Amazon is spending heavily to expand its AI capabilities and rural delivery infrastructure. The company announced a $4 billion investment through 2026 to speed up deliveries in remote U.S. regions. Capital expenditures in Q1 surged to $25.02 billion, up from $14.92 billion in the same quarter last year.

Looking ahead, Amazon expects second-quarter sales to range between $159 billion and $164 billion. It also projects operating income of $13 billion to $17.5 billion — slightly below Wall Street’s average forecast of $17.6 billion.

Despite the upbeat report, Amazon’s shares dipped more than 2% in after-hours trading on Thursday, reflecting investor caution amid evolving trade dynamics and earnings expectations.

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Microsoft and Meta Beat Earnings Expectations, Fueled by AI Demand

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Tech giants Microsoft and Meta Platforms reported stronger-than-expected earnings for the March quarter, buoyed by surging demand for artificial intelligence technologies, which helped offset broader economic uncertainty and recent global trade tensions.

Both companies posted results that outperformed Wall Street expectations, triggering a positive reaction in after-hours trading. Microsoft shares climbed 7%, while Meta gained 5.4%, providing a lift to U.S. stock futures.

Microsoft’s AI Momentum Boosts Azure Growth

Microsoft’s fiscal third-quarter earnings showed significant growth in its cloud computing segment, with Azure and related services rising 33% year-on-year—beating analyst expectations of 29%. The company said that AI services contributed 16 percentage points to Azure’s growth, up from 13% in the previous quarter.

CEO Satya Nadella emphasized the central role of AI in the company’s strategy, stating: “Cloud and AI are the essential inputs for every business to expand output, reduce costs, and accelerate growth.” Microsoft has aggressively integrated AI into its offerings, including its Office 365 suite and GitHub Copilot assistant, now used by over 15 million developers.

Microsoft’s total revenue reached $70.1 billion, a 13% increase from the same period last year. Earnings per share rose to $3.46, well above the consensus estimate of $3.22. All major business units, including LinkedIn, Microsoft 365, and Dynamics cloud services, reported double-digit growth.

However, recent U.S. tariffs could pose a challenge going forward. Microsoft has already scaled back some global data centre projects. Nevertheless, the company plans to invest $80 billion in infrastructure by the end of fiscal 2025.

Meta Posts Solid Growth, Eyes AI Expansion

Meta also exceeded expectations, with revenue rising 16% to $42.31 billion. Earnings per share jumped 35% to $6.43, well above the forecasted $5.28. Advertising, which makes up 98% of the company’s revenue, totaled $41.39 billion, beating estimates.

CEO Mark Zuckerberg highlighted the company’s continued momentum: “Our community continues to grow, and our business is performing very well. We’re making good progress on Meta AI and our AI glasses.” Meta AI, a generative AI tool, now boasts nearly one billion monthly active users.

To support its AI ambitions, Meta raised its capital expenditure forecast to between $64 billion and $72 billion for 2025. The company said most of the increase will go toward expanding its data centre capacity and acquiring advanced AI hardware.

Still, Meta flagged potential regulatory headwinds in Europe, noting that new rules could affect user experience and revenue in the region starting as early as the third quarter.

Both companies’ strong quarters underscore how AI continues to drive revenue and investor confidence, even amid global economic headwinds.

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