Connect with us

Business

France Faces Economic and Political Challenges Amid Growth Forecast Downgrade

Published

on

France’s central bank has revised its economic growth forecast downward, predicting a 0.9% expansion in 2025, a reduction from the 1.2% anticipated in September. The updated figures, released Monday evening, also forecast growth of 1.1% in 2024 and 1.3% in both 2026 and 2027.

The downgrade comes amid significant political upheaval and budgetary gridlock, which have raised concerns among economists and investors. Wages are expected to outpace inflation by 2027, but the near-term outlook remains clouded by fiscal uncertainty.

Credit Rating Downgrade

France’s fraught political environment recently prompted credit ratings agency Moody’s to downgrade the nation’s credit score to Aa3. The downgrade reflects apprehension over a ballooning national deficit, projected by Moody’s to hit 6.3% of GDP in 2025.

France has already exceeded the European Union’s deficit cap of 3% in 2024, triggering disciplinary measures from the bloc. However, the central bank offers a slightly more optimistic view, forecasting the public deficit to land between 5% and 5.5% next year.

Government Collapse Intensifies Uncertainty

Adding to the instability, France’s government collapsed earlier this month following a dispute over the 2025 budget. Former Prime Minister Michel Barnier was ousted in early December and replaced by François Bayrou.

The new administration is now racing to draft emergency legislation to prevent a government shutdown, as no budget bill has been passed for 2025. The central bank has warned that such emergency measures could exacerbate next year’s deficit and necessitate a €4 billion increase in income taxes.

Political Divisions and Economic Credibility

The French National Assembly remains deeply divided following a controversial snap election earlier this year, in which no party secured a majority. Prime Minister Bayrou now faces the challenge of bridging these divisions to stabilize the political landscape and address the budget crisis.

François Villeroy de Galhau, Governor of the Bank of France, has called on lawmakers to set aside partisan disputes for the sake of the nation’s credibility. “Political unity is essential to safeguard France’s economic reputation,” he said.

Inflation and Tax Measures

Inflation, a key economic metric, is projected to slow to 2.4% this year, 1.6% in 2025, and 1.9% in 2027. These estimates hinge on tax policies outlined by the previous Barnier government, which may be revised or abandoned under Bayrou’s leadership.

As France navigates this period of economic and political turbulence, questions remain about the nation’s ability to implement the reforms needed to restore fiscal stability and investor confidence.

Business

World’s Largest EV Manufacturer Recalls Over 375,000 Vehicles for Power Steering Issue

Published

on

By

The world’s largest electric vehicle manufacturer is recalling more than 375,000 vehicles due to a power steering issue that could impact driver control, according to the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).

The recall affects certain 2023 Model 3 and Model Y vehicles, with the NHTSA reporting that the printed circuit board responsible for electronic power steering assist may become overstressed. This could result in a loss of power steering assistance when the vehicle stops and then accelerates again.

A loss of power steering assistance requires drivers to exert greater effort to steer the vehicle, particularly at low speeds, increasing the risk of accidents.

The EV manufacturer has not disclosed the number of incidents linked to the issue but stated that it is working to address the problem promptly. Owners of affected vehicles will be notified and offered free repairs, including replacement of the faulty circuit board if necessary.

The NHTSA advises vehicle owners to monitor their dashboard warning lights and seek service immediately if they notice any changes in steering performance. The agency is continuing to monitor the situation to ensure compliance and safety.

This recall comes as the electric vehicle industry faces heightened scrutiny over software and hardware reliability. Despite the setback, industry analysts believe the company’s proactive recall could help maintain customer trust and highlight its commitment to safety and product quality.

 

Continue Reading

Business

Alibaba Reports Fastest Revenue Growth in Over a Year Amid AI Boom

Published

on

By

Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding has reported its fastest revenue growth in more than a year, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence and cloud computing. The company’s revenue for the quarter ending in December rose 8% to 280.2 billion yuan (€36.65 billion) compared to the previous year, surpassing analysts’ expectations. Net income surged to 48.9 billion yuan (€6.41 billion), boosting its New York-traded stock by over 12% following the earnings announcement.

Alibaba CEO Eddie Wu highlighted the company’s commitment to AI, stating during an earnings call that Alibaba plans to “aggressively invest” in AI and cloud infrastructure over the next three years, with planned spending expected to exceed its total investments of the past decade. Wu emphasized that artificial general intelligence (AGI), which aims to match or surpass human intelligence, is Alibaba’s primary focus, describing the opportunity as a “once-in-several-decades” transformation for the industry.

The company has already integrated AI into its cloud products, resulting in a 13% revenue growth for its cloud division—the fastest pace in two years. Alibaba’s international commerce unit, including platforms like AliExpress and Lazada, saw a 32% increase in revenue, driven by robust cross-border business performance.

Alibaba’s AI strategy comes amid growing competition between the U.S. and China in the AI sector. In January, Alibaba introduced its latest Qwen AI models, which performed well in industry benchmark tests, positioning the company among China’s leading AI innovators. Additionally, Alibaba is collaborating with Apple to integrate its AI technology into Chinese iPhones.

The company’s resurgence follows a challenging period marked by regulatory crackdowns in China’s technology sector. In 2020, authorities halted the IPO of Alibaba’s financial affiliate, Ant Group, and imposed a record $2.8 billion (€2.67 billion) fine for anti-monopoly violations. However, recent signs suggest a more supportive stance from Beijing. Chinese President Xi Jinping recently met with prominent entrepreneurs, including Alibaba cofounder Jack Ma, signaling renewed government backing for the tech industry.

Amid these developments, Alibaba’s stock has surged by over 60% this year, with U.S.-listed shares rising 8.5% to $136.58 (€130.41) during morning trading. With its focus on AI and cloud computing, Alibaba is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced technology in China and beyond.

 

Continue Reading

Business

Airbus Reports Strong Orders and Steady Growth Despite Supply Chain Challenges

Published

on

By

European aircraft manufacturer Airbus has reported solid financial results for 2024, with strong order intake and increased deliveries, further extending its lead over struggling competitor Boeing.

In its annual earnings update on Thursday, Airbus revealed that revenues rose to €69.23 billion, up from €65.45 billion in the previous year. However, adjusted earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) dropped 8% to €5.35 billion, compared to €5.84 billion in 2023. The decline was attributed to restructuring costs in the company’s space division.

Aviation and tourism expert Anita Mendiratta praised Airbus’ performance, stating that the results highlight the company’s focus on fundamentals. “The strong order intake across all divisions signifies sustained market confidence—critical in 2024, the first full year since the pandemic when trade not only recovered but surged,” she said.

Aircraft Deliveries and Orders

Airbus delivered 766 commercial aircraft in 2024, an increase from 735 in 2023, thanks to a strong year-end push. Gross commercial aircraft orders reached 878, with net orders totaling 826 after cancellations.

Looking ahead, Airbus has set a delivery target of 820 commercial aircraft for 2025—a figure lower than its record 863 deliveries in 2019. While some analysts view this target as conservative, Matt Dorset, equity analyst at Quilter Cheviot, noted that it reflects ongoing supply chain issues. “The company will want to avoid another cut to guidance, as occurred in 2024,” Dorset explained.

Airbus lowered its delivery targets in June 2023 due to supply chain disruptions involving engines, aerostructures, and cabin equipment, as well as additional costs in its space systems division. The company continues to face challenges, particularly with Spirit AeroSystems, which is affecting the production of the A350 and A220 models.

Financial Outlook and Dividends

For 2025, Airbus forecasts adjusted EBIT of approximately €7 billion and free cash flow before customer financing of around €4.5 billion. These projections do not account for potential tariffs that could be imposed by a future Donald Trump administration in the United States.

Despite ongoing challenges, Airbus announced an increased dividend of €2 per share for 2024, up from €1.80 the previous year. Additionally, the company proposed a special dividend of €1 per share, with a payment date set for April 24, 2025.

Airbus Extends Lead Over Boeing

Airbus’ stable financial performance contrasts sharply with the difficulties faced by Boeing, which reported a loss of $11.8 billion (€11.3 billion) in 2024—its worst result since 2020. Boeing’s setbacks include a series of safety incidents, strikes, and challenges within its defense programs, further solidifying Airbus’ position as the world’s leading aircraft manufacturer.

Continue Reading

Trending