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China Sets 2025 Growth Target at 5% Amid Rising Trade Tensions

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China has set its gross domestic product (GDP) growth target at 5% for 2025, maintaining the same goal as last year despite escalating trade tensions with the United States and global economic uncertainties. The announcement came during the annual Two Sessions government meeting, where Chinese leaders also unveiled a series of stimulus measures aimed at bolstering the economy.

Increased Deficit and Lower Inflation Target

As part of its Government Work Report, Beijing has raised its budget deficit to 4% of GDP, marking the highest level in three decades. This move aligns with its “highly proactive” fiscal policy stance, which was initially outlined in January.

Additionally, the government has lowered its inflation target to 2% from 3% in 2024, the lowest in more than two decades, reflecting concerns over sluggish domestic demand and a slowing economy.

The Two Sessions—the annual meetings of the National People’s Congress (NPC) and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC)—are expected to conclude on March 11, with more economic policies set to be discussed.

Beijing Announces New Stimulus Measures

To support economic growth, China has unveiled a range of stimulus measures, including:

  • 4.4 trillion yuan (€570 billion) in special-purpose bonds for infrastructure projects.
  • 1.3 trillion yuan (€168 billion) in ultra-long special Treasury bonds to finance long-term projects.
  • 500 billion yuan (€65 billion) in special sovereign bonds to strengthen the country’s largest commercial banks.

The government has also announced policies to boost domestic consumption, support the artificial intelligence (AI) industry, and expand renewable energy projects. Premier Li Qiang emphasized the need to stimulate domestic demand, particularly as trade risks grow due to tariffs imposed by former U.S. President Donald Trump.

Additionally, China plans to expand cross-border e-commerce to push for more exports, with new supporting policies set to be introduced.

US-China Trade War Escalates

The latest round of stimulus measures comes amid a widening trade conflict between the U.S. and China. Last month, Trump imposed a 10% tariff on Chinese goods, which was doubled to 20% on Tuesday.

In retaliation, China has announced a 15% tariff on U.S. agricultural products, including chicken, wheat, corn, and cotton, alongside a 10% tariff on soy, pork, beef, fruits, and vegetables. These duties will take effect on March 10.

This follows Beijing’s first round of retaliatory tariffs in February, which targeted U.S. liquefied natural gas, crude oil, farm equipment, and certain vehicles.

The escalating trade war, combined with tariffs imposed on Mexico and Canada, has led to sharp declines in global stock markets. Trump acknowledged the economic impact of his tariff strategy but downplayed concerns, stating in a Congressional address that the U.S. is “okay with that.”

Chinese Markets Rebound as Copper Prices Surge

Despite the trade tensions, Chinese markets showed resilience on Wednesday. The Hang Seng Index rebounded nearly 2%, snapping a four-day losing streak, while all three mainland stock benchmarks posted gains.

In the commodities market, copper futures surged 1.6%, driven by Beijing’s additional stimulus measures aimed at infrastructure and AI projects. As the world’s largest copper importer, China’s increased demand has lifted prices, benefiting global manufacturers and electric vehicle producers.

However, crude oil prices remained near yearly lows, weighed down by OPEC+’s recent decision to increase supply.

Looking Ahead

With trade tensions rising and economic headwinds persisting, China’s leadership faces mounting pressure to stabilize growth and shield its economy from external risks. The next phase of economic policies will likely focus on strengthening domestic industries, securing alternative trade partnerships, and ensuring financial stability amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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Ukrainian Women Lead Europe in Entrepreneurial Ambitions, New Study Finds

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A new study commissioned by Mastercard reveals that Ukrainian women have the highest entrepreneurial aspirations in Europe, despite facing war and economic uncertainty. According to the report, 66% of Ukrainian women plan to start their own businesses, a figure that rises to 83% among Gen Z women.

Women in Ukraine Defy Challenges to Pursue Entrepreneurship

The study highlights how Ukrainian women are turning to business ownership as a means of financial stability and social impact. Many cite lack of funds (76%), lack of experience (47%), and lack of confidence (38%) as barriers, yet their resilience remains strong.

Among the most popular industries for female entrepreneurs in Ukraine are online sales (22%), education (17%), agriculture (15%), and food and drink (15%).

Mastercard emphasized the role of female entrepreneurs in economic resilience and recovery, citing stories like Inna Bozhko, a businesswoman from Kharkiv. Bozhko, a mother of a child with cerebral palsy, opened Barbershop Inclusive, which includes a soundproofed area for children with sensory sensitivities. She received support from the Mastercard Center for Inclusive Growth, demonstrating how financial backing and mentorship can help women succeed.

Portugal, Poland, and Greece Lead Female Entrepreneurship in the EU

Within the European Union, Portugal, Poland, and Greece have the highest number of women aspiring to start businesses.

  • Portugal: 62% of women have considered starting a business, with 56% actively planning to do so.
  • Poland: 47% of women have shown interest, with 36% making concrete plans.
  • Greece: 46% are considering entrepreneurship, with the same percentage moving forward with their plans.

Portuguese women stand out not only for their business ambitions but also for their financial literacy. The study found that Portuguese women are twice as confident in handling finances compared to the average European woman.

Gen Z Women Are Driving Change

The study also highlights the influence of Gen Z women, who are increasingly motivated by a desire to make a positive impact.

  • 19% of Gen Z women in Europe say they want to start businesses to “do something good for the world,” compared to 13% of Millennials and 14% of Gen X.
  • Their preferred industries include education, childcare, and cosmetics, with beauty entrepreneurship being the most popular sector (26% vs. 10% European average).

Challenges and Solutions for Female Entrepreneurs

Despite their ambition, women across Europe continue to face significant barriers when starting businesses. The study identified three major concerns:

  1. Fear of failure (31%)
  2. Lack of financial resources (29%)
  3. Lack of experience (28%)

In addition, many women struggle with balancing family responsibilities, which can limit their ability to pursue business ventures.

However, Mastercard and Amazon Web Services (AWS) believe that digital technology can help bridge the gap. From AI-powered automation to e-commerce platforms, technological advancements are making it easier for women to start, manage, and scale their businesses.

Empowering the Next Generation of Female Entrepreneurs

AWS Vice President Tanuja Randery, a founder of the PowerWomen Network, emphasized the need for sponsorship, mentorship, and financial support for women entrepreneurs.

“To accelerate female entrepreneurship and enable the next unicorns in Europe, we need to ensure women have access to the right sponsors, networks, and funding,” Randery told Euronews Business.

She offered three key pieces of advice for aspiring female entrepreneurs:

  1. Have a plan – “If you don’t know where you’re going, any road will take you there.”
  2. Find sponsors, not just mentors – “Women are often over-mentored but under-sponsored.”
  3. Take risks – “Move across industries and geographies, embrace feedback, and stay true to yourself.”

As entrepreneurial ambition among women grows across Europe, particularly in Ukraine, greater financial access, mentorship, and digital tools could help unlock the full potential of female-led businesses.

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Just Eat Launches Drone Food Delivery in Dublin

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Dublin has become the latest city to embrace drone-powered food delivery as Just Eat Takeaway.com partners with Irish drone operator Manna Drones Ltd to introduce the service.

The Dutch multinational food delivery company announced that customers in select areas of the Irish capital can now receive their meals via drones, dramatically reducing delivery times. “Customers will have the choice to receive their orders from participating partners via drones, which will be deployed from local delivery hubs operated by Manna,” Just Eat Takeaway.com said in a statement.

Once an order is prepared and loaded onto a drone, it can reach customers in as little as three minutes, the company added. The collaboration marks a significant step toward integrating drone technology into mainstream food delivery, with plans to expand the service to other markets in the future.

Just Eat Takeaway.com operates in 17 countries, including Germany, Italy, Spain, and Switzerland. The move comes amid a period of transition for the company, which delisted from the London Stock Exchange in December and announced in February that it was being acquired by tech investor Prosus in a €4.1 billion all-cash deal.

The food delivery industry has been increasingly turning to automation to enhance efficiency and reduce reliance on gig economy workers, whose employment conditions have been the subject of ongoing debate. Just Eat Takeaway.com says its drone service will improve operational efficiency and provide faster deliveries, especially during peak hours.

The company joins a growing list of firms investing in drone delivery. In the United States, Walmart and Amazon have already launched similar services, while in Europe, Berlin-based Foodora Group—part of Delivery Hero—is testing deliveries using both drones and autonomous robots in Norway and Sweden. In Sweden, the firm is working with telecom provider Tele2 AB to integrate GPS-based robot home deliveries, with full-scale rollout expected across Nordic countries by 2025 and 2026.

With the introduction of drone deliveries, Just Eat Takeaway.com is positioning itself at the forefront of food delivery innovation, potentially reshaping how meals are delivered in cities worldwide.

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EU Agrees to Boost Defence Spending as Germany Pushes for Fiscal Reform

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The European Union member states have reached an agreement to increase defence spending, aligning with Germany’s push to ease fiscal constraints. The decision has had immediate financial repercussions, driving the German stock market to new highs and causing government bond yields to soar.

EU Backs Increased Defence Spending

On Thursday, all 27 EU member states unanimously approved a policy statement supporting higher defence expenditure. The move follows European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s proposal to activate a mechanism that would mobilize €800 billion in special funds for defence. The agreement also includes provisions for an additional €150 billion in special loans, underscoring the bloc’s commitment to strengthening military capabilities.

The statement suggests that defence spending could be excluded from the EU’s existing debt and deficit rules, a key point in Germany’s recent campaign for fiscal reform. This clause aligns with Berlin’s efforts to relax its self-imposed “debt brake” and boost investment in national defence. Germany has maintained strict spending discipline for over a decade following the 2009 sovereign debt crisis, but Chancellor-in-waiting Friedrich Merz has argued that increased military funding should not be constrained by traditional fiscal limits.

Earlier this week, Merz emphasized the need for Germany to take decisive action in bolstering its defence, advocating for spending beyond 1% of GDP. His CDU/CSU party and the SPD, currently negotiating a coalition agreement, have also proposed a €500 billion special fund for infrastructure investment, further signaling a shift in fiscal policy.

EU Reaffirms Support for Ukraine Despite Hungary’s Veto

Alongside the defence spending agreement, the EU issued a separate statement reaffirming its commitment to Ukraine, despite Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s opposition to additional aid. The statement declared that the EU would continue providing “enhanced political, financial, economic, humanitarian, military, and diplomatic support to Ukraine,” while also strengthening sanctions against Russia.

Financial Markets Respond to Policy Shift

The EU’s decision has had immediate economic implications, particularly in Germany. The DAX index rose 1.47% to a record high of 23,419.48, reflecting investor optimism over potential fiscal expansion. The index has surged more than 17% this year, driven in part by expectations of increased military spending. Defence sector stocks, in particular, saw a sharp uptick as markets anticipated future government contracts and spending initiatives.

In addition to stock market gains, Germany’s borrowing costs also surged. The yield on Germany’s 10-year government bond climbed to 2.88%, its highest level since October 2023. The benchmark bond yield saw a 30-basis-point jump in the previous trading session, marking the largest single-day increase since the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1990. This sharp rise suggests that investors are demanding a risk premium in response to potential fiscal policy changes.

Meanwhile, the euro stabilized against the US dollar, holding steady at a four-month high near 1.08. However, inflationary concerns remain, with analysts speculating that the European Central Bank (ECB) may slow the pace of interest rate cuts. Increased military spending, coupled with geopolitical uncertainty, could further influence inflationary pressures and monetary policy adjustments.

Looking Ahead

The EU’s decision to boost defence spending marks a significant policy shift, particularly for Germany, which has long adhered to strict fiscal discipline. As the bloc moves forward with these financial and military commitments, economic and geopolitical factors will play a crucial role in shaping the future trajectory of European defence and fiscal policy.

 

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