Business
China’s Economic Data Reveals Challenges Amid Trade and Consumption Concerns
China’s industrial output showed modest growth in November, but weaker-than-expected retail sales have intensified calls for Beijing to focus on consumer-oriented stimulus measures as the nation braces for potential new U.S. tariffs under President-elect Donald Trump’s administration.
Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed that industrial output rose 5.4% in November, slightly above October’s 5.3% increase and outperforming analysts’ forecasts. However, retail sales—a key measure of consumer activity—slowed to a three-month low of 3.0%, significantly below the 4.8% growth seen in October and the 4.6% increase predicted by analysts.
The mixed results underscore the challenges facing China as it seeks to sustain economic momentum heading into 2025. Analysts suggest that worsening trade relations with the U.S., coupled with fragile domestic consumption, could complicate recovery efforts.
President-elect Trump has pledged to impose tariffs exceeding 60% on Chinese goods, potentially accelerating Beijing’s plans to shift its $19 trillion economy from a reliance on exports and investment to a consumption-driven model. While this transition has been discussed for decades, experts note it remains a work in progress.
“China’s policies continue to favor manufacturers over consumers despite persistent signs of weak domestic demand,” said Dan Wang, an independent economist based in Shanghai. “This may exacerbate overcapacity issues and push Chinese companies to seek growth overseas.”
Fixed asset investment growth also slowed, rising 3.3% year-on-year in the January-November period, compared to a 3.4% increase in the previous month.
While some analysts believe retail sales figures may have been skewed by early shopping during the “Double 11” sales event in October, they agree that consumer demand remains heavily dependent on government subsidies. “When adjusted for October-November data smoothing, growth averages around 3.9%, but it is clear that consumption lacks intrinsic strength,” said Xu Tianchen, senior economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.
China’s property sector, a significant economic driver, continues to weigh on consumer confidence. Despite a slowdown in the decline of new home prices in November, experts caution that recovery remains uncertain.
At the Central Economic Work Conference (CEWC) last week, Chinese leaders pledged to boost consumption, raise the budget deficit, and adopt a looser monetary policy for the first time in over a decade. Moody’s Ratings has adjusted China’s 2025 GDP growth forecast to 4.2% from 4%, while a Reuters poll predicts 4.5% growth next year. However, new U.S. tariffs could reduce this figure by up to 1 percentage point.
Economists warn that while increased policy support may provide short-term relief, sustaining growth will require structural reforms and stabilization of key sectors such as real estate.
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Business
China’s June Exports Surge 27% as AI Demand and Vehicle Shipments Boost Trade
China’s exports posted stronger-than-expected growth in June, rising 27 percent from a year earlier as booming demand linked to artificial intelligence and robust overseas sales of vehicles and technology products lifted trade, according to data released by the country’s customs agency.
The June performance marked a sharp acceleration from the 19.4 percent annual increase recorded in May and exceeded economists’ expectations. Imports also gathered pace, climbing 36 percent year on year after a 27.4 percent rise in May. Analysts said higher import costs resulting from the conflict involving Iran contributed to the increase in import values.
China’s monthly trade surplus widened to $125.6 billion in June from $105.4 billion in May, reflecting continued strength in exports despite concerns about slowing domestic demand.
Julian Evans-Pritchard, Head of China Economics at Capital Economics, said trade values experienced another significant increase during June.
“Trade values took another big leg up in June,” he said in a research note, adding that higher semiconductor prices driven by the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence played a major role. He also noted that demand for Chinese goods remained resilient beyond the technology sector.
Exports of electric vehicles, conventional automobiles and other advanced technology products continued to support manufacturing activity as global investment in artificial intelligence increased demand for semiconductors, electronic components and related equipment.
The export sector has helped offset weaker domestic consumption and investment, which continue to face pressure from China’s prolonged property market downturn.
During the first six months of 2026, exports increased 17.6 percent compared with the same period last year, while imports rose 26.6 percent, according to customs figures.
China’s expanding trade surplus has continued to draw attention from policymakers in the United States and Europe, where concerns have grown over widening trade imbalances. In response to higher tariffs and other trade barriers, many Chinese manufacturers have expanded production facilities overseas, particularly in Europe, while exports to Southeast Asia, Latin America and Africa have continued to grow.
June exports to Southeast Asia climbed nearly 35 percent from a year earlier. Shipments to the European Union increased by more than 18 percent, while exports to Latin America rose over 28 percent. Exports to the United States advanced almost 14 percent, partly reflecting weaker shipments during the same period last year after higher tariffs were introduced following President Donald Trump’s return to office.
Wei Li, Head of Multi-Asset Investments at BNP Paribas Securities China, said export growth is expected to continue but warned that future performance remains vulnerable to changing global demand and regulatory measures affecting key industries such as electric vehicles and artificial intelligence.
China is scheduled to release its April-to-June economic growth figures on Wednesday. The government has set a growth target of between 4.5 percent and 5 percent for 2026, slightly below the 5 percent expansion recorded last year. The International Monetary Fund recently raised its forecast for China’s economic growth this year to 4.6 percent but expects growth to slow to 4.1 percent in 2027 as policymakers continue efforts to stimulate consumer spending.
Business
Property Taxes Across Europe Vary Widely, with Belgium Among the Costliest and Cyprus the Most Affordable
Buying property in Europe can involve far more than the purchase price, as homeowners face a range of taxes from acquisition through ownership and eventual sale. A review by the Global Property Guide shows significant differences in how European countries tax real estate, with Belgium emerging as one of the most expensive markets for property owners, while Cyprus and Malta remain among the least heavily taxed.
Property owners across Europe may encounter four main taxes: transfer tax at the time of purchase, annual property tax, tax on rental income and capital gains tax when selling. The amount paid depends not only on tax rates but also on how each country calculates taxable values, making direct comparisons challenging.
Rental income taxes show some of the widest differences across the continent. For non-resident landlords earning €1,500 a month in rent, Denmark imposes the highest tax rate at 42.11 percent, followed by the Netherlands at 36 percent and Finland at 30 percent. Cyprus does not charge tax at that income level, while Luxembourg applies a rate of just 2.94 percent.
For higher rental income of €12,000 per month, Belgium records the highest tax burden at 47.27 percent. Denmark follows with 43.22 percent, while Germany and Greece each apply rates of 41 percent. Italy, Portugal and the Netherlands maintain relatively stable tax rates regardless of rental income, unlike countries with progressive tax systems such as Austria, where rental earnings are taxed alongside personal income.
Transfer taxes also differ sharply. Belgium charges up to 12.5 percent in some regions, meaning buyers of a €500,000 property could pay as much as €62,500 in tax before taking ownership. Regional incentives for owner-occupiers can reduce that amount, particularly in Wallonia and Brussels. At the opposite end of the scale, Estonia and the Czech Republic impose no transfer tax, while Lithuania’s acquisition costs are around 0.4 percent of the purchase price.
Annual property taxes vary because countries use different methods to determine taxable values. Spain’s maximum property tax rate can reach 4.8 percent, although it is based on cadastral values rather than current market prices. In the United Kingdom, council tax on a home worth about €300,000 generally ranges between €2,000 and €3,200 annually. France, Belgium and Spain typically collect lower annual amounts because taxes are calculated using older assessed property values. Cyprus and Malta do not levy annual property taxes.
Capital gains taxes also differ considerably. Denmark taxes profits from property sales at rates of up to 52.07 percent when gains are included with personal income. Germany offers one of Europe’s most favourable systems, exempting gains entirely if the property has been owned for more than 10 years. Malta applies a different approach by charging a transaction tax on the sale price rather than taxing the capital gain itself.
The report concludes that Belgium remains one of Europe’s most heavily taxed property markets due to its combination of high purchase duties, rental income taxes and ongoing ownership costs. Cyprus and Malta continue to rank among the most attractive destinations for property investors because of their lighter tax regimes, highlighting the wide differences that remain across Europe’s real estate markets.
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